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Washington State vs. Iowa State odds: Win probability, final score prediction in NCAA Tournament

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra03/22/24

SamraSource

Washington State | Iowa State
Washington State © Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports | Iowa State © Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports

With one win each on their path to a national championship, the Washington State Cougars and Iowa State Cyclones are set to square off on Saturday, the winner taking a spot in this year’s Sweet 16.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

The Cougars are coming off a win over the Drake Bulldogs in their Round of 32. Isaac Jones led the way in that showdown, accumulating 20 points during that contest for Washington State, helping them move onto the next round.

As for the Cyclones, they took care of business following their win in the Big 12 Tournament, backing it up with a drubbing on South Dakota State. It was Milan Momcilovic and his 19 points leading the charge in that win.

Odds for Washington State vs. Iowa State

According to FanDuel as of the time of this publishing, Iowa State sits as an 8.5-point favorite over Washington State. The Cyclones are -300 on the moneyline, with the Cougars priced at +250.

The point total for the game is sitting at 128.5 points. We’ll see if these two competitive teams can get to that total when they clash on Saturday. 

Final score predictions for Washington State vs. Iowa State

BPI predicted winner: Iowa State
BPI predicted point differential: 11.0
BPI win probability: 85.7
BPI matchup quality: 80.3

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 11.0 points in Iowa State’s favor. It also gives the Cyclones an 85.7 percent chance to win the game over the Cougars. 

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BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 80.3, which is in the middle of the road for Saturday’s competition. 

KenPom Predicted final score: Iowa State 68, Washington State 62
KenPom win probability: Iowa State, 72%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Iowa State and Washington State, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Cyclones to win.

How to watch Washington State vs. Iowa State

Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
Channel: TNT, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: CHI Health Center Omaha — Omaha, NE

Iowa State and Washington State are set to tip off at 6:10 p.m. EST. It will be played at the CHI Health Center Omaha in Omaha, NE with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on TNT. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through Prime Video, where you can add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work.