Xavier vs. Texas odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch in First Four

The last game of the First Four on Wednesday will be the Big East vs. the SEC. That’s with Xavier and Texas playing for the final spot in the field in the NCAA Tournament.

Xavier (21-11) got in off the bubble to earn their second berth in three years under Sean Miller. That’s after the Musketeers, a team led by Zach Freemantle (17.3 points (52.6% FG), 7.1 rebounds), won their final seven in the regular season, before a two-point loss in the quarterfinals of the Big East Tournament, to better position themselves over the final month. Now, they’ll be going an hour north for this game to try and extend their season into the actual bracket.

Texas (19-15), coached by Rodney Terry, was then the final team out of the record-setting amount of berths from the Southeastern Conference. That’s after the Longhorns won two games in doing enough in the SEC Tournament to get in the field. Tre Johnson, the SEC Freshman of the Year at 19.8 ppg., will now try to lead their corps of veterans in Arthur Kaluma, Tramon Mark, and Jordan Pope into the tournament.

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Odds for Xavier vs. Texas

Per the latest odds at FanDuel, Xavier is a 2.5-point favorite (-108) over Texas. With that, the ‘Horns are (+116) on the moneyline as the slight underdog.

The over-under for the game is then at a total of 149.5. The over is lightly favored at (-105) with both teams averaging right at or just barely over 78 points.

Final score predictions for North Carolina vs. San Diego State

BPI Predicted Winner: Texas
BPI Predicted Point Differential: 0.9
BPI Win Probability (for Texas): 53.7%
BPI Matchup Quality: 83.8

ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI) is, in turn, favoring Texas here over Xavier in the First Four. It’s projecting a close game with the Longhorns having a point differential of less than a point and a win probability of 53.7%.

Matchup quality then has this as the top-rated game among the eleven postseason matchups on Wednesday with two for the NCAA Tournament and nine in the NIT. Its statistic is +19.4 better than the next closest game on the schedule.

KenPom Predicted Final Score: Xavier 76, Texas 75
KenPom Win Probability (for Xavier): 50%

KenPom is also predicting a very close matchup between the Musketeers and Longhorns. It has Xavier winning by a single point in the projection with a dead-even win probability of 50%.

How to watch Xavier vs. Texas

Time: 9:10 p.m. EST on Wednesday (March 19th)
Channel: truTV
Location: UD Arena (Dayton, Ohio)

Texas and Xavier did enough in their final games of the season to be two of the final teams selected for the NCAA Tournament. However, only one will see their season continue into the full field with the winner going from this game into a matchup with No. 6 Illinois in the Midwest Region.

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