Georgia at Mississippi State: Betting Trends
It feels like Georgia fans have been rushed a little this week, like they haven’t had much time to enjoy the win over Tennessee. In the blink of an eye we’re already to Thursday and a new opponent is on the horizon — Mississippi State.
The Bulldogs from the SEC East will lock horns with the Bulldogs from the SEC West. Georgia got the better of this matchup in Athens a couple of years ago. It won 31-24 thanks to over 400 passing yards and four touchdowns from JT Daniels in his first start as a Bulldog.
But things didn’t go so well the last time Georgia was in Starkville. That was in 2010 and Mississippi State won 24-12, handing UGA its second third of four straight losses that season.
Things look a lot different now. Georgia is coming off a National Championship in 2021 and is ranked No. 1 through nine games in 2022. The Bulldogs from The East are rolling. Mississippi State is good enough to play the role of spoiler, but most would agree it’s going to take a herculean effort and some mistakes on UGA’s part.
Some are betting on that. Let’s start with the money line this week. Per VegasInsider.com, sports books are taking 94 percent of their bets for Georgia to win straight up but the money is a lot closer. UGA is getting 54 percent of the cash.
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If you look at the number of bets, the public is leaning UGA’s way against what is now a 16.5 point spread after opening at 18.5. Fifty nine percent are taking Georgia and laying the points. The cash tells a different story. Despite only 41 percent of the bets being on Mississippi State to cover the spread, 82 percent of the money is on the Bulldogs from the SEC West to get it done. It’ll be interesting to see what that number looks like closer to kickoff. That will happen at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday (ESPN).
This will be Georgia’s first true road game since it got a scare from Missouri on October 1. The Bulldogs have played three home games and one at a neutral site since then.
What Georgia vs. Tennessee taught us…
Those sports books are pretty good. We kicked around the idea that Georgia opening as almost a two-full-touchdown favorite over Tennessee was a sucker line for the sports books. They had gotten doused a little by the Bulldogs the week before when Florida barely covered what was mostly a 22.5 or 23-point spread.
They recouped as Tennessee made its way to Athens. Georgia won by 14 points in a game that would have probably have been a lot more comfortable for those who bet the Bulldogs if not for some heavy third-quarter rain.
