2025 SEC Win Totals: Can Kentucky Rebound from 4-Win Season?

Today is a milestone in the offseason. We are 100 days from the start of the college football season. That turns a page in Talking Season, and one of the first big topics on the docket is Vegas win totals. The projection for the Kentucky football program isn’t very optimistic following a 4-8 campaign.

In recent years, Vegas handicapped Kentucky as a bowl team. The win total hovered between 5.5 and 6.5 games. Kentucky went well below the line of 6.5 in 2024. That is one reason why that number has dipped ahead of the 2025 season. Over at DraftKings, Kentucky has a win total of 5.5 (over +150, under -180). It’s one game lower at FanDuel.

SEC Win Totals

Georgia – 9.5
Over -178, Under +144

Texas – 9.5
Over -184, Under +148

Alabama – 9.5
Over +110, Under -134

LSU – 8.5
Over -158, Under +128

Missouri – 7.5
Over +104, Under -128

Ole Miss – 8.5
Over -180, Under +146

Tennessee – 8.5
Over -110, Under -110

Florida – 7.5
Over +124, Under -152

Texas A&M – 7.5
Over -170, Under +138

Auburn – 7.5
Over -180, Under +146

South Carolina – 7.5
Over -110, Under -110

Oklahoma – 6.5
Over -178, Under +144

Arkansas – 5.5
Over -115, Under -105

Vanderbilt – 4.5
Over -184, Under +134

Kentucky – 4.5
Over -130, Under +104

Mississippi State – 3.5
Over -144, Under +118

Uncertainty Leads to a Lower Total

When the 11 Personnel crew handicaps its best win total bets, the first thing we look at isn’t the power rankings, it’s the schedule. How many wins is this team guaranteed to bank? That’s a difficult assignment when handicapping the Kentucky football team.

For the second straight year, Kentucky has one of the ten most difficult schedules in college football. Early spread projections indicated that the Wildcats will only be favored to win four games. They are one-score underdogs in three other games. That means for the Cats to return to the postseason, they must take care of business (including a road game at Vanderbilt) as a favorite and win two of their three toss-up games.

In addition to the difficult schedule, there are plenty of unknowns about the roster that was drastically flipped this offseason. There are only 14 returning scholarship players on offense. An optimist might say that’s a positive. After all, they needed fresh blood to improve, however, it creates so much uncertainty, even if the new guys have plenty of college football experience elsewhere. Betting on uncertainty is not a great bet. Best of luck in your win total wagers.

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