Kentucky has produced mixed results as big road underdog

Kentucky’s third SEC game of the 2024 college football season will include another multi-possession spread. After getting upset by South Carolina as a 9.5-point favorite in Week 2, the Wildcats again find themselves as three-possession underdog. After catching 22 points in the matchup against Georgia, UK will catch 17.5 points in the Week 5 contest against top-10 Ole Miss.

Kentucky will be more than two touchdown road dog for only the second time in the last three seasons on Saturday afternoon. In the Mark Stoops era, Kentucky has been a large road dog (16+ points) 12 times. The Wildcats have had middling results.

• 2013: Kentucky (+21) at South Carolina | Gamecocks 35, Cats 28
• 2013: Kentucky (+26) at Georgia | Bulldogs 59, Cats 17
• 2014: Kentucky (+18) at Florida | Gators 36, Cats 30
• 2015: Kentucky (+16) at Georgia | Bulldogs 27, Cats 3
• 2016: Kentucky (+16) at Florida | Gators 45, Cats 7
• 2016: Kentucky (+35) at Alabama | Crimson Tide 34, Cats 6
• 2016: Kentucky (+27) at Louisville | Cats 41, Cards 38
• 2017: Kentucky (+21) at Georgia | Bulldogs 42, Cats 13
• 2019: Kentucky (+24) at Georgia | Bulldogs 21, Cats 0
• 2020: Kentucky (+32) at Alabama | Crimson Tide 63, Cats 3
• 2020: Kentucky (+24) at Florida | Gators 34, Cats 10
• 2021: Kentucky (+21) at Georgia | Bulldogs 30, Cats 13

Kentucky is just 1-11 overall in these games but 6-5-1 against the spread (ATS). The Wildcats took Florida to overtime in 2016, knocked Louisville out of the Orange Bowl in 2016, and recorded a late backdoor cover against No. 1 ranked Georgia in 2021.

Under Lane Kiffin, Ole Miss is 4-6-1 ATS as an SEC home favorite. The Rebels are just 1-3 ATS in games where the spread was larger than two touchdowns.

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