Super Bowl Preview: Finding the best prop bets for Chiefs vs. Eagles

The most popular Sunday of the calendar has arrived. At State Farm Stadium this evening, Super Bowl 57 will get started as the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will lock horns as each franchise looks to bring home its second world championship.

Now it’s time for potluck dinners and Super Bowl squares as America and the world pauses for four-plus hours filled for football, expensive commercials, and an extravagant halftime show featuring Rihanna.

Your football crew at KSR will be totally locked in for the event and is here to provide a preview of the big game. Let’s dive in.

Elite offensive lines

Football is a game that is won at the point of attack. In the NFL, organizations always try to build their teams from the inside out. General managers Howie Roseman (Eagles) and Brett Veach (Chiefs) have both done this.

The Super Bowl could be a matchup of the best two offensive lines in the NFL.

Roseman has built his offensive line the traditional way as all five starters were drafted by the Eagles. There was some great scouting work done as only right tackle Lane Johnson was a first-round pick. The NFC East franchise has developed well and produced the NFL’s top offensive line in 2022.

The Chiefs have gone a different route. After being unable to protect Patrick Mahomes in Super Bowl 55 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the AFC West franchise committed big free agency money to Orlando Brown Jr. (left tackle) and Joe Thuney (left guard) to secure the blindside. However, huge draft hits with Creed Humphrey (round two) at center and Trey Smith (round six) at right guard have raised both the floor and ceiling. Humphrey is the best center in football not named Jason Kelce and the guard tandem of Thuney and Smith might be the best in football.

In Sunday’s game, the Eagles will use their big offensive line to establish the run first. For the Chiefs, it’s all about protecting Mahomes against the best pass rush in football. Defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon will play a lot of zone coverage often going to a four-deep structure with three underneath defenders while only rushing four. Mahomes will need time to carve up the Eagles. Will the Chiefs be able to provide the pass protection?

That will be the story of the game.

Don’t sleep on Eagles passing game

Jalen Hurts enters the Super Bowl completing 66.2 percent of his 29.9 passes per game while ranking No. 3 in the NFL in yards per attempt (8.0) and No. 4 in QBR (66.3). The third-year pro has been a no doubt top-10 QB in the NFL this season that also contributed 831 yards and 15 touchdowns on the ground. Hurts could determine the game on Sunday.

When digging into some of the advanced numbers, the biggest advantage in Super Bowl 57 could be the Eagles passing game vs. the Chiefs passing defense.

SUPER BOWL ADVANCED STATS PREVIEW pic.twitter.com/6SG2XPaA93

— SumerSports (@sumersports) February 9, 2023

Per Sumer Sports, the Chiefs ranked No. 19 in expected points (EPA) added passing on defense while the Eagles rank No. 6 in EPA passing. However, we’ve seen a different story from Kansas City in the playoffs.

Thanks to a strong pass rush, this unit has been able to pressure Trevor Lawrence (5.6 yards per attempt) and Joe Burrow (6.6 yards per attempt) to make quick decisions and get the ball out quickly. That has helped protect a young secondary that has three rookies playing major snaps. But it should be a different story on Sunday going against a stout Eagles offensive line.

Philadelphia should be able to establish the run and Hurts will have time to throw. If the quarterback can take advantage of an iffy Chiefs pass defense “Fly, Eagles, Fly” will be heard all night long in Arizona.

Luckett’s Leans

The football should be excellent as these two No. 1 seeds battle it out in the Super Bowl. But the prop wagers is where a lot of attention will be focused on. The betting public can wager on anything from Gatorade color, coin toss, and national anthem length.

We are going to stay out of some of the wild exotics, but I have picked some of my favorite props of the Super Bowl with a same game parlay that has a lot of value.

• A.J. Brown Over 72.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
• Miles Sanders Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts (+100)
• Any QB Reception (+1000)
• No Team Scores 30+ Points (+115)
• Same Game Parlay (+340): Patrick Mahomes MVP (+120) and Chiefs Moneyline (+100)

If you think the Chiefs are going to win, you can essentially get it at 3/1 plus some change. Patrick Mahomes will have to have a big game for Kansas City to win and should bring home the MVP trophy barring a boatload of turnovers for the Eagles. This is the best value play available for this game.