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Score predictions for all 6 Kentucky high school football state championship games

Zack Geogheganby:Zack Geoghegan12/05/24

ZGeogheganKSR

KHSAA football championship at Kroger Field - Les Nicholson, Kentucky Sports Radio
KHSAA football championship at Kroger Field - Les Nicholson, Kentucky Sports Radio

The championship stage is set. 12 teams across six classes will go into Kroger Field this weekend looking to win a Kentucky state football championship, but only six will hoist a trophy. We’ll have three games on Friday with three more on Saturday.

Of the 12 teams headed to Lexington, seven of them will be searching for their school’s first-ever state championship: Raceland (1A), Sayre (1A), Owensboro Catholic (2A), Union County (3A), Franklin County (4A), Cooper (5A), and Ryle (6A). We’ll have a first-time champion no matter what in Class 1A.

Meanwhile, Trinity will look to extend its state record with a 29th state title and second in a row. Beechwood is gunning for an 18th overall championship (fourth in five years), Bowling Green a ninth (second straight), and Christian Academy-Louisville a fifth (third straight).

As we gear up for the championship round, we’re predicting the score for the six games on this weekend’s schedule. Using the On3 Massey Ratings — a system created in 1999 by statistician Kenneth Massey that was used to help determine the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) until 2013 — we are able to plug every high school team across the state into a tool that will predict the final outcome of any given matchup.

For more information on the Massey Ratings and how it works, click here. Below, we have included score predictions for all six championship games. Along with the Massey Ratings, we also have averaged-out score predictions from five of KSR’s Top 25 rankings voters.

Friday, December 7

TIME | CLASSMATCHUPMASSEY PREDICTIONKSR PREDICTION
12:00 PM | 1ANo. 25 Raceland (10-4) vs. No. 22 Sayre (14-0)28-20 (Raceland)30-13 (Sayre)
4:00 PM | 2ANo. 7 Owensboro Catholic (14-0) vs. No. 12 Beechwood (13-1)35-34 (Beechwood)35-30 (Owensboro Catholic)
8:00 PM | 4ANo. 5 Franklin County (13-0) vs. No. 1 Paducah Tilghman (14-0)34-28 (Franklin County)36-26 (Paducah Tilghman)

Saturday, December 8

TIME | CLASSMATCHUPMASSEY PREDICTIONKSR PREDICTION
12:00 PM | 3ANo. 11 Christian Academy-Louisville (11-3) vs. No. 23 Union County (12-2)45-13 (Christian Academy-Louisville)30-16 (Christian Academy-Louisville)
4:00 PM | 6ANo. 6 Ryle (12-2) vs. No. 3 Trinity (12-2)34-14 (Trinity)22-21 (Trinity)
8:00 PM | 5ANo. 2 Cooper (14-0) vs. No. 9 Bowling Green (12-2)35-28 (Cooper)38-26 (Cooper)

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2025-01-26