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Score predictions for Week 2 of Kentucky high school football

Zack Geogheganby:Zack Geoghegan08/29/24

ZGeogheganKSR

Graphic of Massey Ratings Week 2 score predictions by KSR
Graphic of Massey Ratings Week 2 score predictions by KSR

Kentucky high school football kicked off across the state last week. With several Top 25 showdowns on the schedule, it was an exciting and entertaining opening stretch. We could see another repeat this coming weekend with even more high-profile matchups spread throughout the Bluegrass. None will be bigger than the KSR Game of the Week though, which features No. 2 Frederick Douglass hosting No. 3 Trinity in Lexington.

As we gear up for Week 2 action, we’re predicting the score for every major game on the docket for Friday and Saturday. Using the Massey Ratings — a system created in 1999 by statistician Kenneth Massey that was used to help determine the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) until 2013 — we are able to plug every high school team across the state into a tool that will predict the final outcome of any given matchup.

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As a quick explanation, the Massey Ratings are computer ratings based on historical trends and current-year stats. With that in mind, it will need a few weeks’ worth of games before the numbers begin to hit their stride. However, you won’t find a more reliable system to use in terms of predicting scores throughout the first couple of weeks of the regular season.

For more information on the Massey Ratings and how it works, click here.

Below, we have included score predictions for all of KSR’s Top 25 teams, along with the 17 additional teams that received votes from our panel of 10 voters. If your school was not included in the prediction sheet, click the link here to find their team page. There, you’ll be able to see predictive scores for this weekend and the rest of the season, along with updated results.

*RV indicates a team receiving votes in KSR’s Preseason Top 25 Rankings*

Friday, August 30

TIME (EST)MATCHUPMASSEY PREDICTION
7:30 PMNo. 3 Trinity @ No. 2 Frederick Douglass28-19 (Trinity)
7:30 PMNo. 4 Male @ RV Ballard34-14 (Male)
7:00 PMNo. 24 Graves County @ No. 5 Paducah Tilghman42-14 (Paducah Tilghman)
8:30 PMNorth Hardin vs. No. 6 Corbin (@ Garrard County)42-14 (Corbin)
7:00 PMNo. 23 Central @ No. 7 St. Xavier42-12 (St. Xavier)
7:30 PMNo. 8 Cooper @ Henry Clay45-7 (Cooper)
7:30 PMHeritage Hills (IN) @ No. 9 Christian Academy-Louisville42-14 (Heritage Hills)
7:00 PMOwensboro @ No. 10 Bowling Green41-20 (Bowling Green)
7:00 PMDaviess County @ No. 11 Owensboro Catholic42-14 (Owensboro Catholic)
7:30 PMCentral Hardin @ No. 12 DuPont Manual42-14 (Central Hardin)
8:00 PMNo. 14 Highlands @ No. 25 Covington Catholic30-26 (Highlands)
7:00 PMNo. 15 Ryle @ Conner42-14 (Ryle)
8:00 PMNo. 17 Ashland Blazer @ West Jessamine42-6 (Ashland Blazer)
7:00 PMNo. 18 South Warren @ Henderson County42-19 (South Warren)
7:30 PMCampbell County @ No. 19 Beechwood42-26 (Beechwood)
7:00 PMNo. 22 Madisonville-North Hopkins @ Caldwell County42-14 (Madisonville-North Hopkins)
7:30 PMRV Pulaski County @ Danville42-7 (Pulaski County)
7:30 PMRV Mayfield @ Hopkinsville45-13 (Mayfield)
7:30 PMRV Madison Central @ RV Lexington Catholic38-14 (Lexington Catholic)
7:30 PMCasey County @ RV Campbellsville42-13 (Campbellsville)
7:30 PMRV Sayre @ Bracken County35-14 (Sayre)
8:45 PMPaul Laurence Dunbar @ RV Woodford County46-14 (Woodford County)
6:00 PMRV Simon Kenton vs. Mercer County (@Woodford County)46-20 (Simon Kenton)
7:30 PMRV Great Crossing @ RV Scott County40-14 (Scott County)
7:30 PMRV Greenup County @ Russell30-26 (Greenup County)
7:00 PMRV Franklin-Simpson @ Warren Central41-8 (Franklin-Simpson)
7:30 PMPleasure Ridge Park @ RV Bullitt East35-16 (Pleasure Ridge Park)
8:00 PMRV East Carter @ Rowan County42-14 (East Carter)
8:30 PMRV George Rogers Clark @ RV Belfry30-28 (Belfry)

Saturday, August 31

TIME (EST)MATCHUPMASSEY PREDICTION
8:00 PM No. 16 Bryan Station @ No. 1 Boyle County38-20 (Boyle County)
5:00 PMNo. 13 Franklin County vs. No. 21 Lexington Christian Academy (@ Boyle County)36-22 (Franklin County)
8:00 PMJohnson Central @ No. 20 Pikeville27-24 (Pikeville)

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2024-11-26