Score predictions for Week 3 of Kentucky high school football
We’re officially two weeks into the 2024 Kentucky high school football season. It’s been an eventful start so far, with several high-profile matchups taking place across the state in both weeks. The schedule for Week 3 should be no different.
There will be five games this week featuring a pair of KSR’s Top 25 teams, including a top-five showdown in Louisville between No. 5 St. Xavier and No. 3 Male. The KSR Game of the Week is headed to northern Kentucky though as No. 8 Cooper hosts No. 13 Ryle. We have just one Saturday game this weekend, although it’ll take place in Ohio as the state’s top-ranked team, St. Edward, hosts Kentucky’s top-ranked team, Boyle County.
As we gear up for Week 3 action, we’re predicting the score for every major game on the docket for Friday and Saturday. Using the Massey Ratings — a system created in 1999 by statistician Kenneth Massey that was used to help determine the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) until 2013 — we are able to plug every high school team across the state into a tool that will predict the final outcome of any given matchup.
As a quick explanation, the Massey Ratings are computer ratings based on historical trends and current-year stats. With that in mind, it will need a few weeks’ worth of games before the numbers begin to hit their stride. However, you won’t find a more reliable system to use in terms of predicting scores throughout the first couple of weeks of the regular season.
For more information on the Massey Ratings and how it works, click here.
Below, we have included score predictions for all of KSR’s Top 25 teams, along with the additional teams receiving votes from our panel of 10 voters. If your school was not included in the prediction sheet, click the link here to find their team page. There, you’ll be able to see predictive scores for this weekend and the rest of the season, along with updated results.
*RV indicates a team receiving votes in KSR’s Week 2 Top 25 Rankings*
Friday, September 6
| TIME (EST) | MATCHUP | MASSEY PREDICTION |
| 7:00 PM | Center Grove (IN) @ No. 2 Trinity | 34-21 (Center Grove) |
| 7:00 PM | No. 5 St. Xavier @ No. 3 Male | 31-28 (Male) |
| 7:00 PM | No. 4 Paducah Tilghman @ RV Mayfield | 35-28 (Paducah Tilghman) |
| 7:30 PM | No. 6 Frederick Douglass @ No. 15 DuPont Manual | 36-14 (Frederick Douglass) |
| 7:30 PM | Lexington Catholic @ No. 7 Corbin | 36-14 (Corbin) |
| 7:30 PM | No. 13 Ryle @ No. 8 Cooper (KSR Game of the Week) | 28-27 (Cooper) |
| 7:30 PM | North Hardin @ No. 9 Christian Academy-Louisville | 45-12 (Christian Academy-Louisville) |
| 6:00 PM | No. 10 Bowling Green vs. No. 22 Bryan Station (@ LCA) | 34-24 (Bowling Green) |
| 7:00 PM | No. 11 Owensboro Catholic @ Greenwood | 41-20 (Owensboro Catholic) |
| 7:00 PM | No. 12 Highlands @ Campbell County | 42-14 (Highlands) |
| 7:30 PM | North Laurel @ No. 14 Franklin County | 42-14 (Franklin County) |
| 7:30 PM | Harvest Preparatory School (OH) @ No. 16 Ashland Blazer | 35-20 (Harvest Preparatory School) |
| 7:30 PM | Dixie Heights @ No. 17 Beechwood | 35-28 (Beechwood) |
| 7:00 PM | No. 18 Madison Central @ Madison Southern | 38-14 (Madison Central) |
| 7:30 PM | No. 24 George Rogers Clark @ No. 19 Pulaski County | 35-28 (Pulaski County) |
| 7:00 PM | Hopkins County Central @ No. 20 Madisonville-North Hopkins | N/A |
| 7:30 PM | Belfry @ No. 21 Johnson Central | 42-21 (Johnson Central) |
| 8:45 PM | RV Pikeville @ No. 23 Lexington Christian Academy | 35-22 (Lexington Christian Academy) |
| 7:30 PM | Henry Clay @ No. 25 Great Crossing | 42-7 (Great Crossing) |
| 7:00 PM | Southwestern @ South Warren | 36-14 (South Warren) |
| 7:30 PM | Atherton @ RV Woodford County | 42-10 (Woodford County) |
| 7:00 PM | RV Central @ Butler | 41-7 (Central) |
| 7:30 PM | Ludlow @ RV Sayre | 35-14 (Sayre) |
| 7:30 PM | Metcalfe County @ RV Campbellsville | 42-8 (Campbellsville) |
| 7:00 PM | Allen County-Scottsville @ RV Franklin-Simpson | 36-20 (Franklin-Simpson) |
| 7:30 PM | RV Paris @ Hazard | 28-27 (Hazard) |
| 7:00 PM | RV Hart County @ Green County | 39-18 (Hart County) |
| 7:30 PM | North Bullitt @ RV Bullitt East | 44-7 (Bullitt East) |
| 7:00 PM | Simon Kenton @ RV Covington Catholic | 42-28 (Covington Catholic) |
| 7:30 PM | Boyd County @ RV East Carter | 28-26 (Boyd County) |
Saturday, September 7
| TIME (EST) | MATCHUP | MASSEY PREDICTION |
| 1:00 PM | No. 1 Boyle County @ St. Edward (OH) | 40-8 (St. Edward) |
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