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The Kentucky vs. Florida opening line is...

Jack PIlgrimby:Jack Pilgrim01/30/24
Todd-Golden-John-Calipari-Florida-Gators
Florida Gators head coach Todd Golden and former Kentucky Wildcats head coach John Calipari, now at Arkansas, talk before the game at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center. (Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports)

Kentucky took care of business down in Gainesville, so it shouldn’t come as a surprise that the Cats are favored to beat the Gators in the rematch in Lexington. By how many, though? Our friends at FanDuel have spoken.

John Calipari’s group has opened as a 6.5-point favorite against Florida with the moneyline set at -275 in favor of UK. As for the over/under, that’s been set at 171.5 points.

ESPN’s Matchup Predictor gives Kentucky a 71.4% chance to defeat Florida with a 6.7 predicted point differential, right on track with the opening spread. The BPI gives the matchup a quality rating of 83.9, good for fourth-best overall on Wednesday. The Cats moved down two spots overall after going 1-1 last week and now have just a 4.1% chance to win the SEC with a projected record of 22.3-8.7 overall and 11.6-6.4 in conference play.

Elsewhere, KenPom gives Kentucky a 68% chance to win at home with a projected score of 90-84 while Bart Torvik likes the Cats by 5.5 with a projected score of 92-86 and a 67% shot to win.

What do you think, BBN? Fair?

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2025-01-18