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CaneSport Message Board Mania: Miami Hurricanes' 2025 Season Outlook Best-Case vs. Worst-Case Scenarios

On3 imageby:Matt Shodellabout 17 hours

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generic miami mario
(photo by Neil Gershman)

It’s just the first week of spring practice in the books, with Week 2 set to begin tomorrow. The second portal window hasn’t even opened up yet. Who knows yet what younger guys might develop into? So there are a myriad of reasons why it’s way too soon to make any kind of predictions about the Miami Hurricanes or any other college team in the nation. But that hasn’t stopped ESPN from releasing its early top 25 with Miami No. 23. Fox’s Joel Klatt has the Canes No. 8. CollegeFootballNews has the team checking in at No. 10, and On3’s Andy Staples has UM No. 21.

The list goes on and on, and Miami’s pretty generally somewhere in the top 25.

So it’s of note that CaneSport message board posters were recently asked not for their season predictions … but what has to go right for the top end prediction to happen and what could go wrong for the bottom end prediction.

We’ve picked out a few of the notable responses to delve a bit deeper into. So let’s get it started.

Cuban Dynasty: “9 wins for top (team still does not know how to win games they should); 5 wins for bottom (Any issue with Beck early and team folds)

This is notable because even the high end for Mr. Dynasty is nine wins whereas many Miami fans would likely point to anything less than the 10 the team got last year as failure. He says it’s a team that “still does not know how to win games they should,” and as any true UM fans knows that has been an issue for a long time now. It’s almost the expectation of many that this team will drop a game to a lesser opponent, right? Because that’s happened literally every year for the last two decades. At some point odds say that will stop being the case … but will that be this year? It’s a much tougher schedule than a year ago … so Dynasty is sort of your reign-in-the-hype realist, perhaps.

Poobah03: “12-1 ACC Champion if D is top 20 and Beck is 2023 Beck; 9-3 if Beck is a watered down version of himself. I still think The D is top 20.

This was a common theme among responders in the thread … the perception that the season’s fortunes rest on both Beck and the defense. And that perception very well may be reality. Can you imagine last year’s record without the play of top QB Cam Ward? Or the record if the defense actually was good? But now all those playmaking receivers are gone along with top TE Elijah Arroyo and RB Damien Martinez. The defense has a lot of new faces with four main returning starters. So it makes sense to point to QB and the defense as the major keys. Good Beck play and strong D should equal at least an ACC title game berth, right? Now, 12-1 might be pushing it given the level of competition even with strong play from Beck and the D, but who are we to argue?

CANESCANESCANESCANES: “11 wins if we fill out the roster with difference makers in the spring portal; 6 wins if Miami has to rely on any other QB

This is a great take because it points to how important spring practice is moving forward (drills kick up again tomorrow) in coaches figuring out where there truly are holes that need to be filled with top talent in the second portal window. If coaches don’t recognize where there are talent gaps and don’t fill them, well your roster is your roster once that portal window closes. So land a top WR, DT, LB and safety and we can see that 11 wins very much being reality. And again you see the same mentality when it comes to this offense with Beck vs. no Beck …

Oh, and the author of this analysis you are reading?

Well, I picked Miami with 11 wins “if Beck is as advertised” or 7 wins “if Beck is hurt early in season or isn’t to his form of two years ago.” I also point to the need for a top 20 scoring defense if the team is going to hit double-digit wins.

Now let’s give the last word to Miami-Canes07.

“Matt, you’re really pessimistic, no 12-0, ACC CHAMPIONSHIP and PLAYOFFS?” Mr. 07 writes.

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