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Michigan football: FanDuel's latest game lines for key matchups

Anthony Broomeby:Anthony Broome07/11/22

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Michigan football heads into the 2022 season looking to defend its Big Ten Championship from last year. Oddsmakers at FanDuel still foresee an uphill battle for a Wolverines team that brings back plenty of talent.

FanDuel‘s most updated odds have Michigan at +800 to win the Big Ten. The Ohio State Buckeyes are the clear favorites at -200 with oddsmakers banking on them to bounce back from a “down” 11-2 season and loss in Ann Arbor. The Buckeyes and Wolverines sit at -300 and +600 to win the Big Ten East, respectively.

FanDuel has Michigan sitting at over/under 9.5 wins on the year. Last year’s total was set at 7.5, which was surpassed easily by the upstart Wolverines. The oddsmakers also has Michigan at -110 to win 10-plus games this year.

Also notable is the inclusion of a handful of key game lines for matchups throughout the season. Michigan’s first notable showdown of the year comes on Oct. 4 at Iowa where FanDuel lists them as a four-point favorite. The two met in the Big Ten Championship last season, a 42-3 Michigan victory.

The Oct. 15 game with the Penn State Nittany Lions in Ann Arbor has Michigan as a 6.5-point favorite, while Oct. 29’s rivalry tilt with Michigan State has U-M favorited by eight.

FanDuel lists two other Michigan games on its early set of lines. The Nov. 12 home showdown with Nebraska has the Wolverines favored by 11.5 points, while Nov. 26’s trip to Ohio State has Michigan installed as a 13.5-point underdog.

Michigan football’s FPI outlook

ESPN recently updated its Football Power Index, which projects Michigan’s record at 9.5-2.6 this upcoming season. FPI gives the Wolverines more than a 66.9% chance of victory in every game it plays except for the finale at Ohio State (15.2%).

ESPN’s metric also sees a 1.7% chance of finishing undefeated, an 11.2% chance of winning the Big Ten East and an 8.3% shot to win the conference. Michigan’s College Football Playoff percentage is set at 17.8%.

Below are FPI’s projections for each game on the schedule this year:

Sept. 3 vs. Colorado State: 97.6% chance of victory

Sept. 10 vs. Hawaii: 98% chance of victory

Sept. 17 vs. UConn: 99.1% chance of victory

Sept. 24 vs. Maryland: 82.6% chance of victory

Oct. 1 at Iowa: 70% chance of victory

Oct. 8 at Indiana: 85.9% chance of victory

Oct. 15 vs. Penn State: 66.9% chance of victory

Oct. 29 vs. Michigan State: 69.5% chance of victory

Nov. 5 at Rutgers: 88.6% chance of victory

Nov. 12 vs. Nebraska: 80% chance of victory

Nov. 19 vs. Illinois: 93.1% chance of victory

Nov. 26 at Ohio State: 15.2% chance of victory

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