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NCAA resume watch: NC State slightly falls in NET rankings after Louisville win

image_6483441 (3)by:Noah Fleischman01/15/24

fleischman_noah

DJ Horne
Dec 20, 2023; Raleigh, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina State Wolfpack guard DJ Horne (0) scores a three pointer and reacts with forward DJ Burns Jr. (30) during the second half against Saint Louis Billikens at PNC Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jaylynn Nash-USA TODAY Sports

NC State has taken care of business against the teams it should beat on its schedule, but it has struggled to win its Quad 1 games so far this season. It is early in the season, and there is time for the Wolfpack to pick up a couple marquee wins before Selection Sunday in March.

At the moment, the Pack’s best win is its 76-60 win over Virginia earlier this month, and if Boston College can pick up a few wins to get into the top-75 of the NET rankings, NC State would have a Quad 1 win over the Eagles.

NC State had a chance to earn its first signature win of the season against North Carolina, the No. 7 team in the NET rankings, but it could not keep pace with the Tar Heels on Wednesday. The Pack fell from No. 65 to No. 72 after its loss to North Carolina, and then it fell down to No. 74 after it beat Louisville behind graduate guard DJ Horne‘s 27 points on the road on Saturday afternoon.

There is still a lot of time — 15 games — for the Wolfpack to position itself in a good spot for an at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament, but it needs to pick up at least a couple Quad 1 wins. Here’s a look at NC State’s team sheet at this moment (and we will have a new update to this each week until Selection Sunday). 

  • Quad 1: 0-4 (6 remaining)
  • Quad 2: 2-0 (6 remaining)
  • Quad 3: 2-0 (3 remaining)
  • Quad 4: 8-0 (0 remaining)

Quad 1: 0-4

Home: 1-30 | Neutral: 1-50 | Away: 1-75

NET RankingDateOpponentResult
411/24/2023vs. BYU (Vegas Showdown)L 95-86
612/16/2023vs. Tennessee (San Antonio)L 79-70
71/10/2024vs. North CarolinaL 67-54
73/2/2024at North Carolina
153/4/2024vs. Duke
282/17/2024at Clemson
452/10/2024at Wake Forest
5711/28/2023at Ole MissL 72-52
651/24/2024at Virginia
673/9/2024at Pittsburgh

Quad 2: 2-0

Home 31-75 | Neutral: 51-100 | Away: 76-135

NET RankingDateOpponentResult
451/16/2024vs. Wake Forest
521/20/2024vs. Virginia Tech
561/30/2024vs. Miami
651/6/2024vs. VirginiaW 76-60
672/7/2024vs. Pittsburgh
801/27/2024at Syracuse
8412/2/2023at Boston CollegeW 84-78 (OT)
982/27/2024at Florida State

Quad 3: 2-0

Home: 76-160 | Neutral: 101-200 | Away: 136-240

NET RankingDateOpponentResult
802/20/2024vs. Syracuse
842/24/2024vs. Boston College
1252/3/2024vs. Georgia Tech
1651/3/2024at Notre DameW 54-52
2351/13/2024at LouisvilleW 89-83

Quad 4: 8-0

Home: 161-362 | Neutral: 201-362 | Away: 241-362

NET RankingDateOpponentResult
21711/6/2023vs. The CitadelW 72-59
23112/20/2023vs. Saint LouisW 82-70
24112/12/2023vs. Tennessee-MartinW 81-67
25111/23/2023vs. Vanderbilt (Vegas Showdown)W 84-78
25711/10/2023vs. Abilene ChristianW 84-64
33011/17/2023vs. Charleston SouthernW 87-53
34812/6/2023vs. Maryland Eastern ShoreW 93-61
36112/23/2023vs. Detroit MercyW 83-66

Team sheet notes

– Most of NC State’s non-conference schedule remains Quad 4 wins. The Wolfpack’s eight non-ACC wins are in that category, which does not help its NCAA Tournament resume, other than the fact NC State avoided any painful losses in that stretch.

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– As noted earlier, the Wolfpack would like Boston College to win a few decent games in ACC play to move its NET ranking into the top-75. That would give NC State a Quad 1 road win, which would be the start of a decent resume. Boston College is 1-4 to start ACC play, but like NC State, has plenty of chances to improve its stock.

– NC State does not have any losses outside of Quad 1, which is a helpful building block for the Pack should it win a few in that category down the stretch. If the Pack can avoid any Quad 3 or Quad 4 losses in the final 15 games, which there’s currently three games left at the moment in that category, NC State would be in a decent spot.

– The Pack’s next Quad 1 chance is at Virginia next week and then it will have to wait until mid-February for its next crack at one of those wins at Wake Forest and at Clemson. The red and white could make noise late in the ACC schedule with two Quad 1 opportunities at North Carolina and against Duke in two of the final three games of the season. That could turn some heads in the selection committee room going into the ACC tournament if the Pack can win one or both of those contests. 

Remaining schedule

DateOpponentNET RankingQuad
1/16/2024vs. Wake Forest45Quad 2
1/20/2024vs. Virginia Tech52Quad 2
1/24/2024at Virginia65Quad 1
1/27/2024at Syracuse80Quad 2
1/30/2024vs. Miami56Quad 2
2/3/2024vs. Georgia Tech135Quad 3
2/7/2024vs. Pittsburgh67Quad 2
2/10/2024at Wake Forest45Quad 1
2/17/2024at Clemson28Quad 1
2/20/2024vs. Syracuse80Quad 3
2/24/2024vs. Boston College84Quad 3
2/27/2024at Florida State98Quad 2
3/2/2024at North Carolina7Quad 1
3/4/2024vs. Duke15Quad 1
3/9/2024at Pittsburgh67Quad 1

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