Newsstand: ESPN FPI predictions for No. 10 Notre Dame vs. No. 25 Louisville
No. 10 Notre Dame (5-1) plays a third consecutive ranked, undefeated opponent Saturday when the Fighting Irish head south to take on No. 25 Louisville (5-0). ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) heavily favorites the Fighting Irish to improve their record to 2-1 in that stretch.
The FPI gives the Irish a 70.6 percent chance to beat the Cardinals outright, and it predicts the Irish to win the game by eight points. That would cover the 6.5-point spread at which Las Vegas oddsmakers currently have the line set.
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Some other notes from ESPN..
- The Irish are 11-3 against the spread on the road since the beginning of the 2020 season.
- In head coach Marcus Freeman‘s one and a half year tenure, not including the 2021 Fiesta Bowl, the Irish are 6-1-1 against the spread against ranked teams.
- The Cardinals have covered the spread in each of their last three meetings with the Irish.
Kickoff in Louisville is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC, which marks the second week in a row the Irish have appeared in ABC’s primetime window. Of course, the game two weeks ago against then-No. 6 Ohio State kicked off at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC. That’s the same time and place the Irish will take on No. 9 USC (5-0) in South Bend next week.
Notre Dame tweets of the day
Quarterback Sam Hartman has revolutionized the Irish offense.
Tight end Mitchel Evans has been good for the Irish offense, too.
Don’t lose sight of how important this particular play was in last week’s result.
Quote of the day
“Even though I’m not real smart, I knew I probably shouldn’t go there if I want to see the field. So that ruled that one out.”
Headlines of the day
- On300 four-star wide receiver plans first Notre Dame visit since June 2022
- What happened to the Notre Dame defense on six Duke plays of 20-plus yards?
- Notre Dame 3-2-1: Three numbers, two questions (Howard Cross, SOS stuff), and one prediction (nothing comes easy)
- Midseason PFF grades for every Irish football player on offense
- Midseason PFF grades for every Irish football player on defense
- Point/counterpoint: What is the most concerning Notre Dame position group?
- Five-star post player Kate Koval commits to Irish women’s basketball
- Four-star safety JaDon Blair breaks down latest Notre Dame visit
- Report card: Grading the Notre Dame offense halfway through 2023 season
- Report card: Grading the Notre Dame defense halfway through 2023 season
- Coach perspective: Why Notre Dame pledge Styles Prescod made the right call playing O-line
- Lucky Charms: Four-star defensive back locks in Notre Dame visit
- How Notre Dame created two big plays on fourth down vs. Duke
