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What do the oddsmakers and analytics say about Ole Miss' final two regular season games?

11by:Jake Thompsonabout 8 hours

JakeThompsonOn3

NCAA Football: Mississippi at Wake Forest
Sep 14, 2024; Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA; Mississippi Rebels white helmet are seen before a game against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images

This weekend No. 11 Ole Miss has its feet propped up and taking things easy with its second and final bye of the season.

Though come Monday the final push of the regular season begins with games at Florida and then the Egg Bowl back in Oxford to put a bow on things before the postseason.

What the postseason will look hinges on how the Rebels (8-2, 4-2 Southeastern Conference) finishes these last two games.

Spoiler: Wins more than likely gets them to where they want to be and that is the College Football Playoffs.

With a 10-2 record and wins over No. 21 South Carolina and No. 12 Georgia serving as their best victories on the résumé then wins over the Gators and Mississippi State must happen. Any setbacks and the outlook is back to a Florida bowl game or potentially a trip to Las Vegas.

So, with all that in mind what do the oddsmakers and the analytics say about the Rebels chances in these two games?

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ESPN’s win predictor is expecting more lop-sided victories for Ole Miss, giving it a 81.4 percent chance to beat Florida (4-5, 2-4) and a 95.3 percent chance to beat the Bulldogs (2-8, 0-6).

The experts in Las Vegas are also predicting two wins for the Rebels. In the game against the Gators, Ole Miss is currently an 11-point favorite according to Draft Kings.

For the Egg Bowl there are two early lines for the November 29 game already out. Caesars has Ole Miss as a 21-point favorite and FanDuel has it as a 19.5-point advantage.

Both the Rebels and Mississippi State are off for the final time in the regular season while Florida hosts No. 22 LSU on Saturday at 2:30 p.m. CT. How the outcome in Gainesville goes it could alter the spread (which is most assuredly will change on Sunday) as well as ESPN’s win predictor.

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