Ducks Can Compete for Natty According to Blue-Chip Ratio
You must have the horses if you want to win the race. It’s not the x’s and o’s, it’s the Jimmy’s and Joe’s.
You know the sayings. College football is considered by many a ‘talent acquisition business’ by many of the best coaches. Recruiting is the lifeline of any college football team with a few outliers here and there. But from a percentage standpoint, if you want to win it all, you need dudes on your team.
Which is why I’m a big fan of the blue-chip ratio. How much talent you have on your roster is a great barometer of how far your team can to this season. Don’t believe me, take a look.
How has this stat performed in the past?
- 2023: Michigan won it all with a 54% mark.
- 2022: Georgia took home the title in dominant fashion with a 77% ratio.
- 2021: Georgia had an 80% BCR and won it all, beating the No. 1 BCR team, Alabama, in the title game. Three of the four CFP teams were BCR teams; Cincinnati was the first party crasher since 2017.
- 2020: Alabama had an 83% BCR and won it all. All four CFP teams were BCR schools.
- 2019: LSU won it with a 64% BCR. All four CFP teams were BCR schools.
- 2018: Clemson took it home with a 68% mark. All four CFP teams were BCR schools.
- 2017: Alabama won it all with an incredible 80% mark.
- 2016: Clemson took home the title after signing 52% blue chips in the 2013-16 classes.
- 2015: Alabama had a 77% mark.
- 2014: Ohio State won the title with a 68%.
- 2013: Florida State was at 53%.
- 2012: Alabama was at 71%.
- 2011: ‘Bama won the first of its back-to-back titles … also with a 71% mark.
Oregon is among the best in the country according to Bud Elliott of 247Sports. He published his list of 16 teams that have enough talent to win a national championship.
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- 3Hot
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- 5
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Good news, Oregon was among them at No. 5. And keep in mind this, transfers are not included in Elliott’s blue-chip ratio. While his logic is sound on why he doesn’t include them, it furthers my belief this is Oregon’s best team top-to-bottom. The Ducks were savages in the transfer portal this offseason filling some massive positions of need with some really good players including Dillon Gabriel, Evan Stewart, Derrick Harmon and Jabbar Muhammad among others.
As you can see below, Oregon is No. 5 on the list and once again doesn’t include transfers. Elliott later notes FSU barely missed the cut at 49%. And this final caveat:
“No other team is even two foreseeable recruiting classes away from crashing the party.”
| Ohio State | 90% |
| Alabama | 88% |
| Georgia | 80% |
| Texas A&M | 79% |
| Oregon | 76% |
| Oklahoma | 73% |
| Texas | 72% |
| LSU | 70% |
| Notre Dame | 67% |
| Clemson | 64% |
| Florida | 63% |
| Miami | 61% |
| Penn State | 61% |
| USC | 59% |
| Michigan | 56% |
| Auburn | 53% |
