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Oregon Tumbles in Latest ESPN FPI Rankings

On3 imageby:Justin Hopkins•09/01/24
Oregon Ducks
The University of Oregon Ducks Football team warms up before playing the Idaho Vandals at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, OR on August 31, 2024. (Max Unkrich / maxunkrichphotography.com)

As you could expect there has been some fallout from Oregon’s tight win over Idaho on Saturday. There was some shakeup in the updated ESPN FPI rankings as a result of the 24-14 victory for the Ducks.

Oregon entered the weekend as the No. 2 team in ESPN’s FPI rankings. They left the weekend sitting barely in the top ten and No. 10. Georgia remains at No. 1 following a dominant win over Clemson.

Of note, Miami moved up 12 spots following its win over Florida. The Canes are at No. 11 one spot behind the Ducks.

Here is a look at the updated top 10.

  1. Georgia
  2. Alabama (+3)
  3. Texas
  4. Ohio State
  5. Penn State (+1)
  6. Notre Dame (+1)
  7. Tennessee (+2)
  8. Ole Miss (+8)
  9. Oklahoma (-1)
  10. Oregon (-8)

What is college FPI?

FPI is a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and project performance going forward. The ultimate goal of FPI is not to rank teams 1 through 128; rather, it is to correctly predict games and season outcomes. If Vegas ever published the power rankings it uses to set its lines, they would likely look quite a lot like FPI.

Correctly predicting game outcomes can’t be done by evaluating teams’ records because some teams are stronger than their records indicate (lots of close losses), and others have favorable schedules. Both of these situations are reflected in the game- and season-level projections.

It is important to note what FPI is not — FPI is not a playoff predictor, and it is not designed to identify the four teams most deserving of making the College Football Playoff. ESPN has other metrics, including Strength of Record, that can be used to identify the most deserving teams.

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