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BetOnline: Tennessee's College Football Playoff chances increased after Tuesday's rankings

IMG_3593by:Grant Rameyabout 13 hours

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Josh Heupel, Tennessee Football | Caitie McMekin/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
(Caitie McMekin/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images) Tennessee head coach Josh Heupel walks on the field before a game between Tennessee and Kentucky at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tenn., Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024.

Tennessee’s chances to make the College Football Playoff increased after Tuesday’s playoff rankings update from the selection committee, according to BetOnline. The Vols are now up to a 77.8% chance to make the playoffs, an increase of 8.1% according to the BetOnline numbers. 

Oregon and Ohio State are nearly locks at 97.6%, ahead of Texas at 94.7%, Penn State at 90% and Georgia and Indiana both at 83.3%. Georgia’s chances dropped 11.9% after the 28-10 loss at Ole Miss.

Tennessee (8-1, 5-1 SEC) goes on the road to Georgia (7-2, 5-2) on Saturday night (7:30 Eastern Time, ABC) at Sanford Stadium in Athens. The Vols are -350 to make the playoff on the money line and have 2/7 odds.

Tennessee one of four teams with 77.8% chance to make the College Football Playoff

Alabama, Ole Miss, Notre Dame and Tennessee are all at 77.8% to make the playoff. Boise State is at 76.5% and Miami is down to 56.5%, dropping 36.9% after the 28-23 loss at Georgia Tech last week.

Tennessee on Tuesday night stayed at No. 7 in the new College Football Playoff rankings and also stayed as the No. 8 seed in the projected bracket from the selection committee, hosting No. 9 Notre Dame in the first round at Neyland Stadium.

The other first-round matchups in the new bracket were No. 12 Boise State at No. 5 Ohio State, No. 11 Ole Miss at No. 6 Penn State and No. 10 Alabama at No. 7 Indiana. Oregon, Texas, BYU and Oregon received byes into the quarterfinal round.

Oregon was ranked No. 1, ahead of No. 2 Ohio State, No. 3 Texas, No. 4 Penn State, No. 5 Indiana and No. 6 BYU. Behind No. 7 Tennessee was No. 8 Notre Dame, No. 9 Miami, No. 10 Alabama, No. 11 Ole Miss, No. 12 Georgia and No. 13 Boise State.

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Boise State was seeded No. 12 in the bracket as the highest-ranked Group of Five team.

‘We just felt Indiana and BYU earned the 5 and the 6 slot’

Tennessee stayed put in the rankings and bracket despite the losses by Georgia and Miami last week, dropping the Bulldogs and Hurricanes behind the Vols. BYU and Indiana jumped Tennessee, with BYU going from No. 9 last week to No. 6 on Tuesday. Indiana went from No. 8 last week to No. 5 this week.

“Tennessee,” College Football Playoff selection committee chair Warde Manuel said during a conference call Tuesday night, “the offense has struggled some the second half of the season, not being consistent early in the year.

“And we just felt as a committee that at this time Indiana has been playing very well, a close win against Michigan, but other than that, they’ve dominated everyone they’ve played.”

“BYU,” Manuel added, “obviously undefeated, two wins against top-25 opponents, at SMU and against Kansas State. In looking at it, as we assessed all the teams, we just felt that Indiana and BYU earned the 5 and the 6 slot, and Tennessee stayed where they are.”

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