ESPN's game-by-game predictions for Tennessee Football's final three regular-season games
Tennessee Football goes to Georgia for Saturday night’s 7:30 p.m. Eastern Time kickoff on ABC at Sanford Stadium with a 74% chance to make the College Football Playoff, according to ESPN’s Playoff Predictor.
Georgia (7-2, 5-2 SEC) is just ahead of Tennessee (8-1, 5-1) with a 76% chance to make the playoff, despite the 28-10 loss at Ole Miss last week.
The Vols would control their own playoff fate with a win at Georgia Saturday night. They would need help over the next two week with a loss to the Dawgs.
Here are Tennessee’s chances to win each of the final three games of the regular-season schedule with the playoff push in full swing:
Georgia
Tennessee’s chance to win: 38.1%
Saturday | Away | 7:30 p.m. ET | ABC
Georgia took a 7-0 lead at Ole Miss last week on a Nate Frazier 2-yard touchdown run with 10:32 left in the first quarter. Over the next 50 minutes, Ole Miss outscored the Bulldogs 28-3, running away with a 28-10 win in Oxford.
It was the second loss of the season for the Bulldogs and put Kirby Smart’s team on the outside looking in at the updated 12-team College Football Playoff from the selection committee on Tuesday night.
Georgia lost 41-34 at Alabama in September, getting down 28-0, coming back to lead 34-33 in the fourth quarter, then giving the lead back just 13 seconds later on a 75-yard touchdown pass.
After facing Tennessee, Georgia hosts UMass next week and closes the regular-season schedule at home against Georgia Tech.
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UTEP
Tennessee’s chance to win: 99.0%
November 23 | Home | 1 p.m. ET | SEC Network+
UTEP has is 2-2 over its last four games, bouncing back from what was a six-game losing streak to start the season. The Miners beat FIU 30-21 at home on October 16 and beat Kennesaw State at home last week, 43-35 in overtime.
The season started with a 40-7 loss at Nebraska, followed by losses to FCS Southern Utah, at Liberty, at Colorado State, Sam Houston and at Western Kentucky.
UTEP is ranked No. 128 out of 134 Division I teams in ESPN’s Football Power Index. Head coach Scotty Walden was hired by UTEP in December after spending the last two seasons at Austin Peay, where he went 26-14.
Walden’s 9-4 Austin Peay team lost 30-13 to Tennessee at Neyland Stadium last season.
Vanderbilt
Tennessee’s chance to win: 78.9%
November 30 | Away | TBD | TBD
Vanderbilt won five of its first seven games of the season, including a 40-35 home stunner over Alabama and a 20-13 win at Kentucky. Since then, though, the Commodores have lost two of three.
Texas won 27-24 at Vandy three weeks ago and South Carolina went to Nashville and won 28-7 last week. In between the two losses, Vanderbilt won 17-7 at Auburn.
Vanderbilt lost 36-32 at Georgia State in September and lost 30-27 in overtime at Missouri on October 5.
