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Updating ESPN's game-by-game predictions for Tennessee after the win at Oklahoma

IMG_3593by:Grant Ramey09/24/24

GrantRamey

Tennessee-2
Sep 21, 2024; Norman, Oklahoma, USA; Tennessee Volunteers running back Dylan Sampson (6) celebrates with Tennessee Volunteers tight end Holden Staes (19) after the game against the Oklahoma Sooners at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Updating Tennessee Football’s game-by-game win percentage’s in ESPN’s ‘Matchup Predictor’ after the 25-15 win at Oklahoma Saturday night:

Arkansas

Tennessee’s chance to win: 81.1%

October 5 | Away | 7 or 7:30 p.m. ET | TBD

Arkansas won 24-14 at Auburn on Saturday. The Razorbacks had to rally from down 17-3 against UAB in the first half at home two weeks ago, ultimately winning 37-27. The Razorbacks lost 39-31 in overtime at Oklahoma State on September 7 and beat Arkansas Pine Bluff 70-0 to start the season on August 29.

Florida

Tennessee’s chance to win: 91.3%

October 12 | Home | 3:30-4:30 or 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD

Florida improved to 2-2 with a win at Mississippi State on Saturday. The Gators opened with ugly home losses to Miami (41-7) and Texas A&M (33-20) sandwiched around a 45-7 win over Samford.

No. 4 Alabama

Tennessee’s chance to win: 45.8%

October 19 | Home | 3:30-4:30 or 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD

Alabama was off last week, setting up for Saturday night’s showdown against Georgia at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Crimson Tide beat Western Kentucky 63-0 to open the season, beat South Florida 34-16 in Week 2 then went to Wisconsin for a 42-10.

Kentucky

Tennessee’s chance to win: 91.1%

November 2 | Home | 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD

Kentucky beat Southern Miss 31-0 at home to open the season, got throttled by South Carolina 31-7 in Lexington, then nearly upset No. 1 Georgia in a 13-12 loss. UK beat Ohio 41-6 on Saturday.

Mississippi State

Tennessee’s chance to win: 96.1%

November 9 | Home | 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD

Mississippi State started the Jeff Lebby era with a 56-7 win over Eastern Kentucky, but has since lost three straight games. It started with a 30-23 road loss at Arizona State before back-to-back home losses, 41-17 to Toledo and 45-28 to Florida.

No. 2 Georgia

Tennessee’s chance to win: 44.8%

November 16 | Away | 3:30-4:30 or 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD

Georgia was off last week before going to Alabama Saturday night. The Bulldogs beat Clemson 34-3 to open the season and beat Tennessee Tech 48-3 in its home opener. Georgia had to escape Kentucky with a 13-12 win on September 14.

UTEP

Tennessee’s chance to win: 99.0%

November 23 | Home | 1 p.m. ET | SECN+/ESPN+

UTEP is 0-4 with losses at Nebraska (40-7), at home to FCS Southern Utah (27-24), at Liberty (28-10) and at Colorado State (27-17). The Miners are ranked No. 129 (out of 134) in ESPN’s updated FPI.

Vanderbilt

Tennessee’s chance to win: 89.2%

November 30 | Away | 12-1 p.m. ET | SEC Network 

Vanderbilt started 2-0 win wins over Virginia Tech and Alcorn State 55-0, but the Commodores lost 36-32 at Georgia State on September 14 and 30-27 at Missouri in overtime on Saturday.

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