Game-by-game predictions: ESPN gives Tennessee a 71% chance to win at Oklahoma
Updating ESPN’s game-by-game ‘Matchup Predictor’ for No. 6 Tennessee’s remaining nine games on the regular-season schedule, starting with the showdown at No. 15 Oklahoma Saturday night at Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman:
No. 15 Oklahoma
Tennessee’s chance to win: 71.0%
Saturday | Away | 7:30 p.m. ET | ABC
The FPI gave Tennessee a 40.1% chance to win back in August, a 49.4% chance two weeks ago and a 66.6% chance last week. The numbers keeps climbing after Tennessee’s 3-0 start, paired with Oklahoma struggling at home against Houston and Tulane.
Arkansas
Tennessee’s chance to win: 84.1%
October 5 | Away | 3:30-4:30 or 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD
Arkansas had to rally from down 17-3 against UAB in the first half at home on Saturday, ultimately winning 37-27. The Razorbacks lost 39-31 in overtime at Oklahoma State on September 7 and beat Arkansas Pine Bluff 70-0 to start the season on August 29.
Florida
Tennessee’s chance to win: 93.4%
October 12 | Home | 3:30-4:30 or 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD
Billy Napier’s days as Florida’s head coach appear to be numbered. The Gators are off to a 1-2 start with ugly home losses to Miami (41-7) and Texas A&M (33-20) sandwiched around a 45-7 win over Samford.
No. 4 Alabama
Tennessee’s chance to win: 45.2%
October 19 | Home | 3:30-4:30 or 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD
Alabama beat Western Kentucky 63-0 to open the season, beat South Florida 34-16 in Week 2 then went to Wisconsin on Saturday and dominated the Badgers at Camp Randall, winning 42-10.
Kentucky
Tennessee’s chance to win: 92.6%
November 2 | Home | 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD
Kentucky has been hard to figure out. UK beat Southern Miss 31-0 at home to open the season, got throttled by South Carolina 31-7 in Lexington, then nearly upset No. 1 Georgia on Saturday night in a 13-12 loss.
Mississippi State
Tennessee’s chance to win: 95.3%
November 9 | Home | 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD
Mississippi State started the Jeff Lebby era with a 56-7 win over Eastern Kentucky, but has since lost back-to-back games. The skid started with a 30-23 loss at Arizona State last week before returning home to get thumped by Toledo, 41-17.
No. 2 Georgia
Tennessee’s chance to win: 45.7%
November 16 | Away | 3:30-4:30 or 6-8 p.m. ET | TBD
Georgia beat Clemson 34-3 to open the season in Atlanta and beat Tennessee Tech 48-3 in its home opener last week, but had to escape Kentucky Saturday night with the one-point win. Texas jumped Georgia as the No. 1 team in this week’s Associated Press Top 25.
UTEP
Tennessee’s chance to win: 99.0%
November 23 | Home | 1 p.m. ET | SECN+/ESPN+
UTEP is off to an 0-3 start after a 40-7 loss at Nebraska, a 27-24 home loss to FCS Southern Utah and a 28-10 loss at Liberty. The Miners are ranked No. 126 (out of 134) in ESPN’s updated FPI.
Vanderbilt
Tennessee’s chance to win: 86.2%
November 30 | Away | 12-1 p.m. ET | SEC Network
Vanderbilt started 2-0 win wins over Virginia Tech and Alcorn State 55-0, but the Commodores lost 36-32 at Georgia State on Saturday.
