Updating ESPN's Football Power Index predictions for Tennessee with three games left
Tennessee football is up to No. 14 overall in ESPN’s Football Power Index, the fifth-highest SEC team in the ranking with the analytics-based metric projecting the Vols to finish the regular season with a 9-3 record.
The FPI gives Tennessee a 19.0% chance to win its remaining three games against Missouri, Georgia and Vanderbilt. They Vols, currently tied with Mizzou for second in the SEC East, have a 7.7% chance to win the division, a 2.7% chance to win the SEC championship and an 0.3% chance to make the four-team College Football Playoff.
Tennessee (7-2, 3-2 SEC) goes back on the road this week to face Missouri (7-2, 3-2) on Saturday at Faurot Field in Columbia, Mo. The Tigers lost 30-21 to No. 1 Georgia on Saturday at Sanford Stadium in Athens.
Missouri, ranked 24th in the FPI, host Florida next week and end the regular season at Arkansas. Georgia, ranked sixth in the FPI, play Ole Miss Saturday night and are at Georgia Tech on November 25.
Tennessee needs an Ole Miss win over Georgia at Sanford Stadium in Athens, paired with a win of its own at Missouri, to stay alive in the SEC East.
Upcoming Opponents
At (24) Missouri — ESPN Analytics: 60.6% chance for Tennessee to win
Mizzou lost 30-21 at No. 1 Georgia last week and beat South Carolina 34-12 three weeks ago, following a 38-21 win at Kentucky. It was a bounce back from the 49-39 at home against LSU on October 7.
Top 10
- 1
Phil Longo Fired
Wisconsin announces firing of OC
- 2
Iowa QB out
Ankle injury sidelines Brendan Sullivan
- 3
Peter Boulware chimes in
FSU legend offers Norvell advice
- 4
Paul Finebaum
'Kirby Smart was different'
- 5
AP Poll Shakeup
New Top 25 shows big fallout from Saturday
(6) Georgia — ESPN Analytics: 40.4% chance for Tennessee to win
Georgia beat Missouri last week, Florida two weeks ago in Jacksonville and beat Kentucky and Vanderbilt the previous two weeks. The season started with wins over UT Martin, Ball State, South Carolina, UAB and Auburn. Georgia hosts Ole Miss Saturday night and finishes the regular-season schedule at Georgia Tech.
(97) Vanderbilt — ESPN Analytics: 95.7% chance for Tennessee to win
After beating Hawaii (35-28) and Alabama A&M (47-13) to start the season, Vandy has lost eight straight: at Wake Forest (36-20), at UNLV (40-37), Kentucky (45-28), Missouri (38-21), at Florida (38-14), Georgia (37-20), at Ole Miss (33-7) and Auburn (31-15).
Updated Rankings
Tennessee on Tuesday night moved up four spots No. 13 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings. The Vols debuted at No. 17 last week in the first CFP rankings of the new season. Missouri is ranked No. 14.
On Sunday, after the 59-3 win over UConn on Homecoming at Neyland Stadium Saturday afternoon, Tennessee moved up four spots to No. 12 in the USA Today Coaches Poll.
The Vols moved up five spots to No. 14 in the Associated Press Top 25.
