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ITYT: Deep Dive -- Texas' 2025 Win Total, Arch vs. Ewers Differences, Sark's Offensive Issues

On3 imageby:Ian Boyd02/20/25

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Quinn Ewers, Arch Manning
Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Can Texas hit over 9.5 wins next season? We break down their win-loss projection, Jonah Williams’ role, the Moore-Simmons duo, Arch Manning’s 2026 outlook, the Ewers vs. Arch debate, and why Sarkisian is underproducing on offense.

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Over/Under 9.5 Wins for Texas in 2025? – Analysts lean toward over 9.5 wins, citing talent acquisition in the spring portal and roster depth. Tough matchups like Ohio State, Georgia, and Florida will be critical.

Win-Loss Projection Without Roster Additions? – If Texas stands pat, the record is likely 9-3, with vulnerabilities at running back, wide receiver, and offensive line. Key injuries or underperformance could sink the season.

Jonah Williams: Football or Baseball? – Williams is an elite athlete in both sports. His NFL vs. MLB decision hinges on his love for each game. Baseball offers longevity & safety, but he reportedly loves football more.

Trey Moore & Colin Simmons Duo? – The pass-rushing tandem will be on the field together in base and third-down (dime) packages. Their elite speed and disruptive play make them difficult for opposing offenses to block.

Arch Manning vs. Quinn Ewers – How Will Texas’ Offense Change? – More efficient play-action deep shots and better progression reads with Arch. However, he may take more risks with passes. His running ability will enhance the offense, particularly in the red zone.

Texas Offense vs. Defense Disparity? – The offensive talent is elite, but frequent turnover at skill positions hinders consistent production. The defensive scouting and development have outpaced offensive execution in key moments.

Why Wasn’t Texas’ Offense Elite in 2024? – Red-zone inefficiency and lack of power blocking from tight ends & QB mobility limited the system. The absence of a true dual-threat QB and dominant interior run game were factors.

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