On Texas Football: Vegas odds on Longhorns and Ewers, the world of NIL and more
On the latest video episode of On Texas Football, Bobby Burton and Paul Wadlington of Inside Texas talk about odds of the Longhorns winning the national championship, of Quinn Ewers winning the Heisman Trophy, experimentation in name, image and likeness and plenty of other stuff.
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Betting odds released this week gave Texas a +2800 of winning the national title, by far the favorite in the Big 12 Conference in the Longhorns’ final year in the league. Ewers is at +2000 to win the Heisman, as the top 15 choices are quarterbacks.
Wadlington had his tongue placed firmly in his cheek (we think) when he implored Texas fans to invest $1,000 on a parlay of the Longhorns and Ewers.
“Bobby, I think the real service we can give to our watchers and our listeners is to make them filthy rich,” Wadlington said. “So I went into the odds parlay calculator – I don’t know why I’d have that on my browser. But if you bet a mere $1,000 Bobby on those two things parlayed, you know what the payout is?
“$608,000 American dollars, Bobby. So, Bobby Burton is recommending that all of you bet your life savings on this parlay because it’s going to it’s sure to pay up.”
The Longhorns are listed behind the usual suspects in the race for the national title, with Georgia favored to win its third straight championship, followed by Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson, LSU, USC, Michigan, Florida State and Notre Dame.
“Georgia has to replace its quarterback, but goodness gracious, they’re loaded everywhere else,” Burton said. “Alabama. I think they’ll feel a bigger sting from loss of their quarterback just because he’s so much more dynamic.”
Wadlington went with the Buckeyes out of a process of elimination.
“I’m loath to say it but because of how the schedule sets up and just their talent level, it might be Ohio State,” Wadlington opined. “This might be the year that they’d be an interesting bet just because the SEC might just all beat up each other and trade losses.”
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The Heisman has become a “quarterback” award because of the way college football is played in the present day and, according to Burton, is impacted more by a “recency bias” rather than the entire body of work during the season.
“I think that’s one thing that’s kind of sad about the Heisman these days,” Burton said.
Both Burton and Wadlington said that happenings around NIL is in the stage of experimentation, with a bit of a “Wild West” attitude until the NCAA has a series of precedents and hard-fast rules and regulation in place.
Burton said there’s not a disordinate amount of money between the big programs and recruiting is still going to be “nuanced.”
“People just think oh, now it’s just a pure bidding war,” Burton said. “I don’t think that’s the case. Players still want to be developed. They still want to win games, they still want to be in an environment that they enjoy.”
Wadlington agreed, saying that most players need to fit a system to excel and make the most of their college career and choices on programs.
“Once you get past the absolute stud superstars who are not the bulk of college football in the portal or recruits, it’s all about fit,” Wadlington said. “And so you have to be able to articulate and sell the player on your fit.”
There plenty more the hear from our experts, so go and watch the video in its entirety.