Stats breakdown: Texas vs. ULM
The Texas Longhorns welcome the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks to Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium for a week four matchup on Saturday. More data points for both teams now exist through three games for the Longhorns and two contests for the Warhawks, giving statistical data a bit more of a foundation than before.
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Here’s a comparison of Texas’ and ULM’s standing nationally in certain conventional and advanced stats.
Standard Stats
via the UT game notes
College Football Insiders
A reminder from last week: The Longhorns are great and near the nation’s best in almost every advanced statistical category save for defensive rush rate over expected.
What does that measure? According to CFB-Stats’ Parker Fleming, it looks at given down, distance, yard line, and game state, how often do you call designed runs relative to an average team?
Fleming has reiterated that RROE is not a measure of quality. It’s a measure of what opponents are doing against a defense.
For most of these pictures, Red = Bad and Blue = Good. That doesn’t apply for this particular stat, it just illustrates how often a team is calling a designed run relative to an average team.
The Longhorns have allowed 109 yards per game on the ground this year, and aside from a long touchdown run surrendered to UTSA, opponents are mostly running the ball to burn clock and get back to the locker room in one piece.
ESPN Football Power Index
The Texas Longhorns remain the No. 1 team in FPI with a rating of 28.5, 0.3 higher than second-place Alabama. FPI’s projected win-loss record for the Longhorns is now 11.4-1.2
Texas has a 23.7 percent chance of winning out, a 36.4 percent chance of winning the SEC, a 91.4 percent chance of making the playoff, a 35.4 percent chance of making the national championship game, and a 22.4 percent chance of winning the program’s fifth national title.
Texas has the No. 3 strength of record and the No. 21 toughest remaining strength of schedule.
ULM is No. 111 in FPI.
ESPN SP+
The Longhorns check in at No. 3 in SP+, up one spot from last week. They are No. 2 in offensive SP+, No. 9 in defensive SP+, and No. 103 in special teams SP+.
Like last week, the Longhorns carry a -0.2 rating in special teams SP+. No. 1 Florida has improved their rating to 0.4 from 0.2. This ranking may be one that changes drastically over the course of the season.
ULM is No. 112 in SP+, No. 116 in offensive SP+, No. 101 in defensive SP+, and No. 45 in special teams SP+.
FEI
Texas is the No. 3 team in FEI behind No. 2 Ohio State and No. 1 Georgia. Texas is No. 5 in offensive FEI, No. 6 in defensive FEI, and No. 12 in special teams FEI.
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ULM ranks No. 110 in FEI. The Warhawks are No. 122 in offensive FEI, No. 89 in defensive FEI, and No. 119 in special teams FEI.
