Stats Breakdown: What the numbers say about Texas vs. Clemson
Texas and Clemson have never met, so their first time battling on the football field will be Saturday during the first round of the 2024 College Football Playoff. What do the numbers say about the matchup?
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Standard Stats
via the UT game notes
College Football Insiders
Weekly reminder: The Longhorns are among the nation’s best in almost every advanced statistical category save for defensive rush rate over expected.
What does that measure? According to CFB-Stats’ Parker Fleming, it looks at given down, distance, yard line, and game state, how often do you call designed runs relative to an average team?
Fleming has reiterated that RROE is not a measure of quality. It’s a measure of what opponents are doing against a defense.
For most of these pictures, Red = Bad and Blue = Good. That doesn’t apply for this particular stat, it just illustrates how often a team is calling a designed run relative to an average team.
SP+
In SP+, Bill Connelly’s tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency, Texas exited conference championship weekend as the No. 4 overall team. The Longhorns were No. 8 in offensive SP+, No. 2 in defensive SP+, and No. 115 in special teams SP+.
Clemson was No. 17 in overall SP+. The Tigers were No. 16 in offensive SP+, No. 22 in defensive SP+, and No. 99 in special teams SP+.
Top 10
- 1Breaking
Coach Michael Vick
Former NFL star is college HC
- 2Hot
Zachariah Branch
USC 5-Star hits the portal
- 3
Jaylen Mbakwe
5-Star Alabama freshman staying in Tuscaloosa
- 4
Dan Mullen
Contract details released
- 5
Updated National Title odds
Latest odds on the CFP title chase
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FPI
Entering the College Football Playoff, Texas remains the No. 1 team in FPI. The Longhorns have a 40% chance of making the national championship game and a 24% chance of winning the program’s fifth national title according to ESPN’s metric.
Clemson ranks No. 15 in FPI. The Tigers were ascribed a 4.0% chance of making the national championship game and a 1.5% chance of winning the national championship.
FEI
Texas is No. 4 in overall FEI, an opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession a team or unit would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. The Longhorns are No. 19 in offensive FEI, No. 1 in defensive FEI, and No. 35 in special teams FEI.
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Clemson is No. 16 in overall FEI. The Tigers rank No. 12 in offensive FEI, No. 23 in defensive FEI, and No. 88 in special teams FEI.
Texas Individual Leaders
Clemson Individual Leaders
