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Texas Baseball's SEC magic number sits at five after weekend sweep of Texas A&M

by:EvanVieth•04/29/25
Tommy Farmer
Tommy Farmer (Aaron E. Martinez/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

With the Texas A&M series triumphantly done and dusted for the Texas baseball team, the Longhorns sit five games ahead of the next closest SEC teams in the regular season standings.

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At 19-2, Texas is firmly ahead of Arkansas and LSU, two teams that are 14-7 in SEC play and clinging to title chances. With just nine SEC games left on the schedule, Texas’ magic number equation becomes quite simple.

The Longhorns’ last nine games are at Arkansas, versus Florida (No. 12 in the SEC) and at Oklahoma (No. 10 in the SEC), and winning just five of those nine games would lock Texas in for the SEC regular season title.

Even if Arkansas were to sweep the Longhorns in Fayetteville this weekend, Texas would still hold a two-game lead, still a steep climb for the Razorbacks given that each team would have six games left.

If Texas were to win this weekend’s series, they’d effectively knock Arkansas out of the race, pushing them anywhere from six to eight games back with six games left to play. LSU would then be Texas’ main competitor, and it’s not a given that they beat Texas A&M in College Station nor Arkansas at home.

Out of those three teams, here is the breakdown of their last three opponents

While both Texas and LSU play on the road twice, Arkansas easily has the nine hardest games left on their schedule. The Razorbacks have to play each of the other top teams and then play host to fourth place Tennessee. The Razorbacks do control their own destiny in a sense, they could put Texas in an uncomfortable spot with a sweep and could knock LSU out of the race with a series win, but they’d still likely need to sweep all nine games to outpace a red-hot Texas team.

The Longhorns have a simple path: Win five games, become SEC champs. If LSU and Arkansas lose games at the same time, you need to win one fewer game. Thankfully for the Longhorns, they have yet to drop a series and are currently the best team in college baseball.

While heading to Arkansas is no easy task, and IT acknowledges it could lead to a lost series, anything other than being swept keeps Texas in firm command of the lead. And it’s hard to expect either of Oklahoma or Florida to take the series over the current No. 1 team.

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Texas is in the drivers seat with three weeks left to go in the season, something many people around the college baseball world doubted was possible. The Longhorns are gunning for Vanderbilt’s 2013 SEC regular season record, and with an 8-1 finish they would become the best regular season SEC team of all time.

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