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Texas Longhorns Baseball Regional and CWS Odds

by:Paul Wadlington05/28/24
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© Sara Diggins

The Horns are the 3 seed in the College Station regional, where the Aggies are the prohibitive favorite to advance to Omaha. The Horns open with Louisiana – an opponent they defeated last year in a Coral Gables regional that they went on to win – but the Horns certainly have a tough row to hoe in order to get out of Aggieland with the regional crown.

According to WarrenNolan.com in 1000 simulations this is the likelihood of regional advancement:

Day 1Day 2Day 3Day 4*
(3) Texas A&M(0-0)76.8%
Louisiana(0-0)14.5%
Texas(0-0)8.6%
Grambling State(0-0)0.1%

The Aggies are second only to the Tennessee Vols in likelihood to advance from their regional.

College World Series Winner Odds

If you want to bet on who wins the whole thing, Texas faces steep odds at +5000. The Aggies have the best odds at +500.

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Odds to Win 2024 College World Series
Texas A&M5/1
Tennessee11/2(+550)
Arkansas9/1
Kentucky9/1
LSU10/1
Oregon State14/1
Wake Forest14/1
Clemson16/1
Georgia16/1
North Carolina16/1
Florida State20/1
Oklahoma State20/1
Duke25/1
Oklahoma33/1
Virginia33/1
Mississippi State40/1
North Carolina State40/1
South Carolina40/1
Vanderbilt40/1
Alabama50/1
East Carolina50/1
Florida50/1
Texas50/1

Playing spoiler on the Aggies in College Station and turning their hopes of Omaha into Oma-naw would be particularly sweet, but the Horns will have to demonstrate a level of pitching and overall play that they’ve not shown to date in order to do it.

Better late than never!

How would you attack the opener against Louisiana? Would you optimize for 1st round advancement or focus on holding powder dry for the winner’s bracket?

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