Texas Longhorns odds to make a run as a No. 2 seed

The Texas Longhorns are the No. 2 seed in the Midwest Region of the 2023 NCAA Tournament. 

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Rodney Terry’s team will take the court on Thursday, March 16 at 6:25 p.m. Central on TBS taking on No. 15 seed Colgate (26-8).

The 2022-23 Longhorns (26-8) will be looking to be the third straight Texas team to be a No. 2 seed and advance to the Elite Eight. The 2005-06 Texas Longhorns (30-7) lost to No. 10 seed LSU 70-60 in overtime, while the Longhorns (31-7) 2007-08 team lost to No. 1 seed Memphis 85-67 in the Elite Eight in Houston.

It’s been 14 years since the Longhorns have appeared in an Elite Eight, or Sweet 16 for that matter. When Texas last made a deep tournament run, No. 2 seeds were not on upset alert in the Round of 64. That has changed in the last ten NCAA Tournaments.

Inside Texas takes a look at the odds of a NCAA Tournament run as a No. 2 seed with the Longhorns just four days away from beginning a possible deep run.

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No. 2 seeds in the last ten NCAA Tournaments

From 2002 to 2011, No. 2 seeds didn’t lose in the First Round. In the ten tournaments since that time, six No. 2 seeds have lost in the Round of 64. 

34 of 40 No. 2 seeds advanced to the Round of 32 (85.0%)

23 of 40 No. 2 seeds advanced to the Sweet 16 (57.5%)

17 of 40 No. 2 seeds advanced to the Elite Eight (42.5%)

Nine of 40 No. 2 seeds advanced to the Final Four (22.5%)

Two of 40 No. 2 seeds have advanced to the National Championship Game (5.0%)

Villanova in 2016, is the lone No. 2 seed to win the National Championship in the last ten NCAA Tournaments. 

No. 1 seeds have won the last five National Championships.

2022 No. 2 seeds in March Madness

Duke advanced to the Final Four out of the West Region

Kentucky lost to No. 15 St. Peter’s in the East Region

Villanova advanced to the Final Four out of the South Region

Auburn lost in the Round of 32 to No. 10 seed Miami (Fla.) in the Midwest Region

2021 No. 2 seeds in March Madness

Iowa lost in the Round of 32 to No. 7 seed Oregon in the West Region 

Alabama lost to No. 11 seed UCLA in the Sweet 16 of the East Region

Ohio State lost to No. 15 seed Oral Roberts in the Round of 64 in the South Region

Houston advanced to the Final Four out of the Midwest Region

2019 No. 2 seeds in March Madness

Michigan State advanced to the Final Four out of the East Region 

Michigan lost in the Sweet 16 to No. 3 seed Texas Tech (Chris Beard) in the West Region

Tennessee (Rick Barnes) lost to No. 3 seed Purdue in the Sweet 16 in the South Region

Kentucky lost in the Elite Eight to No. 5 seed Auburn in the Midwest Region 

2018 No. 2 seeds in March Madness

Cincinnati lost to No. 7 seed Nevada in the Round of 32 in the South Region

North Carolina lost to No. 7 seed Texas A&M in the Round of 32 in the West Regional

Purdue lost to No. 3 seed Texas Tech (Chris Beard) in the Sweet 16 in the East Region

Duke lost in the Elite Eight to No. 1 seed Kansas in the Midwest Region

2017 No. 2 seeds in March Madness

Duke lost to No. 7 seed South Carolina in the Round of 32 in the East Region

Arizona lost to No. 11 seed Xavier in the Round of 32 in the West Region

Louisville lost to No. 7 seed Michigan in the Round of 32 in the Midwest Region

Kentucky lost to No. 1 seed North Carolina in the Elite Eight in the South Region

2016 No. 2 seeds in March Madness

Villanova won the National Championship out of the South region

Oklahoma advanced to the Final Four out of the West Region 

Xavier lost to No. 7 seed Wisconsin in the Round of 32 in the East Region 

Michigan State lost to No. 15 seed Middle Tennessee in the Round of 64 in the Midwest Region

2015 No. 2 seeds in March Madness

Kansas lost to No. 7 seed Wichita State in the Round of 32 in the Midwest Region

Arizona (Sean Miller) lost to No. 1 seed Wisconsin in the Elite Eight of the West Region 

Virginia lost to No. 7 seed Michigan State in the Round of 32 in the East Region

Gonzaga lost to No. 1 seed Duke in the Elite Eight of the South Region

2014 No. 2 seeds in March Madness

Kansas lost to No. 10 seed Stanford in the round of 32 in the South Region

Villanova lost to No. 7 seed UConn in the Round of 32 in the East Region

Wisconsin advanced to the Final Four out of West Region

Michigan lost to No. 8 seed Kentucky in the Elite Eight in the Midwest Region 

2013 No. 2 seeds in March Madness

Duke lost to No. 1 seed Louisville in the Elite Eight in the Midwest Region

Ohio State lost to No. 8 seed Wichita State in the Elite Eight of the West Region 

Georgetown lost to No. 15 seed Florida Gulf Coast in the Round of 64 in the South Region 

Miami (Fla.) lost to No. 3 seed Marquette in the Sweet 16 in the East Region

2012 No. 2 seed in March Madness

Duke lost to No. 15 seed Lehigh in the round of 64 in the South region

Missouri lost to No. 15 seed Norfolk State in the round of 64 in there West Region

Ohio State advanced to the Final Four out of the East Region

Kansas advanced to the National Championship Game out of the Midwest Region