^^^This! If you think about it, schools with lots of NIL money/tradition in winning it all/whatever can currently use all the "lesser" schools as their minor leagues and watch player development over their first year or three, then poach anyone who they want/need.
I have a TLDR version of my opinion:
No NIL No immediate transfer:
We are where we were in 2015, Bama hoards talent, grey shirts, red shirts, etc
No NIL, immediate transfer:
Benefits State, 4 star players that were sold on a bill of goods in the recruiting process but are buried in the depth chart can go somewhere.
NIL no immediate transfer, worst for State:
Bama can hoard talent out of high school with big NIL deals. If players are buried on the depth chart, they can try to battle or sit out.
NIL and immediate transfer: neutral for State, this will be explained in the details below;
1. Blue bloods will steal out Star athletes: 90% of our Star athletes came to State despite being recruited by the Blue Bloods. We have players that were not recruited by the blue bloods and developed but do you honestly think Elgin Jenkins, Benardrick McKinney, or Dak Prescott leaves State after our coaches have put so much promise in them?
2. Free transfer:
This has been in place since 2020 and let’s look at the results:
Lost considerable contributors, Rara, DJ, Javonta Payton.
Rara: doesn’t make sense, maybe he lost his recruiting coach and felt he wanted to win a ship?
DJ: Had a public spout with the old coach and needed a change in scenery.
Payton: buried in the depth chart and went to TN.
We also lost a DB to Penn State, but here are facts.
He got usurped by 2 CB’s that came from Miami and LSU.
So if you are keeping score. We have lost 2 significant contributors, Rara and DJ. Rara to a blue blood and DJ to an equivalent. In the same time we have gained players from blue bloods, Marcus Banks, Justin Robinson. Radar Jones, Khamari Rogers, Keyvan Lee,
Not to mention gaining Freddie Roberson