PSU faces a tough path in NCAAs.
UNC is the 1 seed, NW is the 2 seed, Maryland is the 3 seed, and Michigan is the 4 seed. Those 4 schools host 1st & 2nd round matches.
PSU will face Louisville in R1, @ Michigan. PSU faced Louisville @ Penn State early in the season (Aug. 28), and lost 2-1. If PSU gets past Louisville, they'll face the winner of the Michigan - Albany R1 match (likely #4 seed Michigan), @ Michigan.
If PSU were to win their 2nd round match, that would propel them to the semifinals. Unless there is a huge upset, they would face #1 seed UNC in the semis.
Only 18 teams make NCAAs in FH, and 4 of them are in pigtail matches (or play-in matches).