3/31/23 Severe Weather Thread

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

Another potentially dangerous night of severe weather looks to unfold across north MS and adjoining areas. SPC specifically mentioning strong to violent tornadoes possible. As of right now the main threat area for MS looks to be along and north of the 82 corridor. Timing looks to be nocturnal again. I'm looking at two things that may...I stress may...reduce the effects of this system. The first is the cloud cover that might keep temps down and reducing instability. The other is the fact that while these storms are expected to start out discrete, they should grow upscale into more of a line. That will at least reduce the violent tornado odds. But like last week, if any discrete storm forms and gets out by itself then we could see a repeat performance. Will that happen? I don't know. But keep weather aware and we will see where the night takes us. I'll be leaving straight after work headed out chasing and hoping I don't see this Friday what I saw last Friday. Chase will be live streamed on our patreon site for premiere access members.

www.patreon.com/NMSCAS

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

Going to be a busy day in the Midwest,Missouri, and Arkansas.

 

[Drebin]

Going to be a busy day in the Midwest,Missouri, and Arkansas.

Soundings in/near Memphis tonight between 7 and 9 PM are eye-catching.

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

Soundings in/near Memphis tonight between 7 and 9 PM are eye-catching.

We were just talking about that on our team chat page. Unholy might be a better word.

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

Upgrade to a high risk is expected at the 11:30 update.

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

 

[kired]

well that seems to have escalated... great

 

[Drebin]

View attachment 323785

I have no words, except to say everyone needs to be really aware this evening.

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

well that seems to have escalated... great

I was not expecting a high risk when I woke up this morning. At most just an expansion of the moderate risk. But things are starting to trend towards a very bad night.

 

[Hugh's Burner Phone]

Hearing reports starting to get some breaks in the clouds, too. Already have dew points in the low to mid 60's.

 

[ckDOG]

Getting breezy here in Memphis. Not looking forward to this evening.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

I hate that this is on a Friday evening because you know a lot of people aren’t going to give a shìt and not be paying attention while they go out for the evening.

There’s also a Grizzlies game tonight at the Forum. 17.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

Desoto County Schools dismissing at 1:30.

 

[Drebin]

I hate that this is on a Friday evening because you know a lot of people aren’t going to give a shìt and not be paying attention while they go out for the evening.

There’s also a Grizzlies game tonight at the Forum. 17.

Yeah, so much for that idea...

This stuff will be blowing up right within the window of the game.

ETA: Maybe a little before game time. It was looking like a 7 to 9 window earlier but now it's looking more like 6 to 8.

 

[TrueMaroonGrind]

I had tickets to the Grizz but I’ll be staying home. We didn’t last week and that was obviously a mistake. This is very concerning.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

Sun is coming out. 17

 

[Drebin]

Sun is coming out. 17

I think we're about to get a little rain, but I don't think that's going to put much of a damper on things. I expect us to get some more sun before we're dealing with the main event.

 

[OldVideoGuy]

Sun just broke through in Tupelo for about 30 minutes but then clouds rolled back in. Praying we don't have another night like last Friday night.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

I think we're about to get a little rain, but I don't think that's going to put much of a damper on things. I expect us to get some more sun before we're dealing with the main event.

That rain just passed south and east of Hernando. Nothing but blue sky looking west.

 

[stateu1]

That rain just passed south and east of Hernando. Nothing but blue sky looking west.

Blue sky and patchy white clouds in Hernando proper.

 

[TippahDawg]

The sun is out in New Albany/Ingomar.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

PDS Tornado Warning in north Little Rock. Heading right at the radar site there.

 

[thatsbaseball]

Trees all over roads around Little Rock

 

[thatsbaseball]

Quite a bit of damage in Little Rock

 

[Dawg1976]

Quite a bit of damage in Little Rock

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

It looks like this outbreak is starting to turn loose now from Arkansas, Missouri, Illinois, and Iowa, already and it seems like it's going to intensify in the area they've already warned about possible development this afternoon and tonight.


Guys... Y'all be careful this evening. Have a plan in place please.

 

[Leeshouldveflanked]

Torcon of 9 for NW MS

 

[TrueMaroonGrind]

Already a bad dual tornado cell in Arkansas about to cross to Tennessee. Very nervous about what is to come.

 

[PBRME]

AR just northwest of Memphis is getting slapped currently.

 

[DerHntr]

Already a bad dual tornado cell in Arkansas about to cross to Tennessee. Very nervous about what is to come.

They issued a PDS with that one. It looks gnarly.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

Wynne got wrecked.

 

[SteelCurtain74]

Here's a video of the tornado from Little Rock.



Prayers sent

 

[National Champion Chip]

I was told they closed down I-55 north of Memphis. I timed my trip home well.

 

[Dawgbite]

I hope I don’t lose my big blue tarp tonight. It was a ***** to put on last weekend.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

Concerned about the one in Phillips County.

 

[3000lbchicken]

Concerned about the one in Phillips County.

hopefully it cross the river and dies

 

[TrueMaroonGrind]

Concerned about the one in Phillips County.

Looks nasty. Said it’s moving at 70mph. It will be here in no time.

 

[DerHntr]

Concerned about the one in Phillips County.

As you should. It appears to be growing. Can see the hail core on the radar now. And they just issued PDS.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

They put a PDS watch out for Mississippi. You guys need to pay attention. It is already been deadly in Arkansas and it is approaching you.