Baseball season prediction thread...

IBleedMaroonDawg

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friends sleep GIF
 

MStateDawg

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Bryce Chance (.286) and Hunter Hines (.257) back, that's the only full time starters. After the slump of a lifetime last season hopefully Hunter figured out curve balls in the offseason.

Some experience back at catcher is a plus (Highfill, Powell). Ethan Pulliam showed positive signs early in the infield last season but slumped badly.

Friday and Saturday starting pitching, gone. Sunday starter was by committee last season hopefully someone will step up from that group

Top 3 hitters (above .300) gone (Jordan, Hujsak, Mershon)

Lots of new faces so who knows who can make the transition from another school or who grows up this season that was here last season. Preseason rankings are for click bait and selling magazines, those clowns don't know any more and probably less than we do. I'm open minded but not extremely hopeful

I don't disagree with anything you said but I still think we have a lot to work with. Here's how I break it down by position.
  • 1B: Better. 2025 Hunter Hines > 2024 Hunter Hines. He's been here 3 years and 2024 was easily his worst. I'm confident he'll be better in 2025.
  • 2B: Push. Larry hit .252 last year with a .952 fielding percentage. I'd say some combination of Reeves/Sanders/Pulliam certainly wont be worse.
  • SS: Worse. Mershon was a gamer. He will be missed, but I do think Cupp & Bukner will be solid.
  • 3B: Better. Ace Reese has a big time bat. He may have some deficiencies defensively, but his bat is going to be substantially better than Kohler's .244 from last year. Worst case scenario is he moves back to the outfield and Frei plays 3rd.
  • C: Better. Highfill & Powell is a better combo than Long & Powell.
  • LF: Push. Bryce Chance/Aaron Downs
  • CF: Worse. Hujsak was our top hitter by the end of the season and solid defensively. He'll be missed.
  • RF: Obviously worse. Even with his struggles down the stretch, Jordan was an emense talent and lossing him will be felt.
  • DH: Better. Sullivan will likely get the most opportunities here, but we have several good options behind him as well (better than last year)
  • Starting pitching: Worse. Khal & Loo were outstanding.
  • Bullpen pitching: Better. We should have much better depth than last year. We lost several key games due to the bullpen in 2024.
Better: x5
Worse: x4
Push: x2

ETA:
  • Schedule: Better. Much much Better. I think we drew the easiest SEC schedule possible.
 
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HuntDawg

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I don't disagree with anything you said but I still think we have a lot to work with. Here's how I break it down by position.
  • 1B: Better. 2025 Hunter Hines > 2024 Hunter Hines. He's been here 3 years and 2024 was easily his worst. I'm confident he'll be better in 2025.
  • 2B: Push. Larry hit .252 last year with a .952 fielding percentage. I'd say some combination of Reeves/Sanders/Pulliam certainly wont be worse.
  • SS: Worse. Mershon was a gamer. He will be missed, but I do think Cupp & Bukner will be solid.
  • 3B: Better. Ace Reese has a big time bat. He may have some deficiencies defensively, but his bat is going to be substantially better than Kohler's .244 from last year. Worst case scenario is he moves back to the outfield and Frei plays 3rd.
  • C: Better. Highfill & Powell is a better combo than Long & Powell.
  • LF: Push. Bryce Chance/Aaron Downs
  • CF: Worse. Hujsak was our top hitter by the end of the season and solid defensively. He'll be missed.
  • RF: Obviously worse. Even with his struggles down the stretch, Jordan was an emense talent and lossing him will be felt.
  • DH: Better. Sullivan will likely get the most opportunities here, but we have several good options behind him as well (better than last year)
  • Starting pitching: Worse. Khal & Loo were outstanding.
  • Bullpen pitching: Better. We should have much better depth than last year. We lost several key games due to the bullpen in 2024.
Better: x5
Worse: x4
Push: x2
the worse in missing 2 guys that basically carried the staff in Lo and Khai. That pitching is what carried the team. Made the sunday games and mid-week games easy. Its the key to winning in the SEC. Years we've won or any team for that matter... its because they've had top of the line starting pitching. We had that last season and that covered up many of our deficiencies. Thats the big worry.. can we do a suitable job replacing them.

I think the rest of your take is a solid one at this point... but the starting pitching being worse is a MUCH bigger question mark than the SS being worse... and we didnt exactly go out and land any big fish to replace either.
 
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MStateDawg

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the worse in missing 2 guys that basically carried the staff in Lo and Khai.
I fully agree that the starting pitching is the biggest loss, but let's keep in mind this: last year Loo was coming off a freshman campaign where he had an 8+ era and Khal was a transfer from a "crappy Big Ten school" that people were upset we took after missing out on Luke Holman choosing LSU.
 

HuntDawg

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I fully agree that the starting pitching is the biggest loss, but let's keep in mind this: last year Loo was coming off a freshman campaign where he had an 8+ era and Khal was a transfer from a "crappy Big Ten school" that people were upset we took after missing out on Luke Holman choosing LSU.
yep tons of credit for developing the staff.. without that lemonis is likely looking for a job.
 
Jul 31, 2020
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I fully agree that the starting pitching is the biggest loss, but let's keep in mind this: last year Loo was coming off a freshman campaign where he had an 8+ era and Khal was a transfer from a "crappy Big Ten school" that people were upset we took after missing out on Luke Holman choosing LSU.
I second this, and will add who anticipated guys like Hardin, Davis, and Auger performing like they did? This year is no different, the potential is there. Justin Parker did a great job turning the staff around. I guess this year we'll find out if it was Parker's doing or just a lot of individual effort from a lot of different guys last year.
 
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IBleedMaroonDawg

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I hope for the best like everybody else, but I did not see anything that got me excited about the upcoming season. I hope I am surprised.
 

MSUDOG24

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I fully agree that the starting pitching is the biggest loss, but let's keep in mind this: last year Loo was coming off a freshman campaign where he had an 8+ era and Khal was a transfer from a "crappy Big Ten school" that people were upset we took after missing out on Luke Holman choosing LSU.
Thought I remembered Khal catching a lot of grief leading into the season being a "crappy B10 guy" and providing an opening for the Lemonis detractors to take another swing. Also thought I remembered a rough start and sure enough, the Ga Southern game only added fuel to the fire.
Pretty solid from there on so who knows. Hopefully we'll have a few pleasant surprises this year. Only time will tell.
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OG Goat Holder

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I don't disagree with anything you said but I still think we have a lot to work with. Here's how I break it down by position.
  • 1B: Better. 2025 Hunter Hines > 2024 Hunter Hines. He's been here 3 years and 2024 was easily his worst. I'm confident he'll be better in 2025.
  • 2B: Push. Larry hit .252 last year with a .952 fielding percentage. I'd say some combination of Reeves/Sanders/Pulliam certainly wont be worse.
  • SS: Worse. Mershon was a gamer. He will be missed, but I do think Cupp & Bukner will be solid.
  • 3B: Better. Ace Reese has a big time bat. He may have some deficiencies defensively, but his bat is going to be substantially better than Kohler's .244 from last year. Worst case scenario is he moves back to the outfield and Frei plays 3rd.
  • C: Better. Highfill & Powell is a better combo than Long & Powell.
  • LF: Push. Bryce Chance/Aaron Downs
  • CF: Worse. Hujsak was our top hitter by the end of the season and solid defensively. He'll be missed.
  • RF: Obviously worse. Even with his struggles down the stretch, Jordan was an emense talent and lossing him will be felt.
  • DH: Better. Sullivan will likely get the most opportunities here, but we have several good options behind him as well (better than last year)
  • Starting pitching: Worse. Khal & Loo were outstanding.
  • Bullpen pitching: Better. We should have much better depth than last year. We lost several key games due to the bullpen in 2024.
Better: x5
Worse: x4
Push: x2

ETA:
  • Schedule: Better. Much much Better. I think we drew the easiest SEC schedule possible.
Saying the pitching units are the same as a position player is kinda misleading. Plus, I'm going with a push on Hines. You rarely see these 4th year players get significantly better. And he's got less around him to protect/help him.
 

Maroon Eagle

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That's just Teddy Cahill's poll. He no longer covers baseball full time. He's in law school at the moment and moonlighting as a journalist for some extra money.
All true.

But his baseball writing background is still solid.

Besides there are many people who thought about or attended law school who become disenchanted with the profession.

Keeping his alternate options open is a good call.
 

Beretta.sixpack

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Next year the rosters will be capped at 34 (currently 40). I think that will help the mid-majors tremendously.
very underestimated ......this is huge...youre going to see more Coastal Carolina's in Omaha bc of this....the transfer portal is one thing....this will change the parity tremendously
 
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