BIG CCG point spread

[blion72]

the point spread on this game has been 3-4 for a while. Most of the media types see it as higher 6-7 pts. Listening to some of the ESPNU guys that looked at the matchups, here were some of the points mentioned:

• Oregon OTs are elite vs Penn State elite edge guys. we are assuming DDS is back full 100%. Can Oregon OTs protect QB?
• Oregon interior line vs PS DTs. Oregon avg IOL, but Penn State is done on DTs, so is this a push? Zane Durant impact?
• Oregon WRs big advantage over Penn State DBs
• RB is considered elite although not a big guy and not much depth.
• QB mobile and elite vs Penn State being able to deal with mobile QBs.
• Overall Oregon offense has more ways to succeed -
• Penn State OTs are avg against strong Oregon edge. Expect pressure on Allar.
• Penn State IOL vs Oregon DTs - advantage Oregon.
• Penn State RBs - Nick elite but Katron currently may be hurt. vs Oregon front 7 = limited run success.
• Penn State QB vs Oregon rush - advantage Oregon and will depend on Allar being mobile and running when open.
• Penn State WRs vs Oregon DBs - Oregon advantage.
• Penn State TEs vs Oregon safeties - Penn State advantage.
• did not discuss special teams.

most are picking for game to exceed over. similar to Ohio State game but higher scoring.

 

[Tri-Power65]

Amazing that Wisconsin nearly beat this super elite team...

 

[Midnighter]

ICYMI

 

[Thorndike2021]

Guess there's no reason to play this one. Let's head home and have a chicken cosmo.

 

[Corner Room Breakfast]

Flashback 1982, on the way to the Nebraska - PSU game,listening to the radio, the talking heads from the
Midwest were saying not only is Nebraska a great football team, they might be the best
team of all time.
It's good to be the underdog.

 

[Grant Green]

the point spread on this game has been 3-4 for a while. Most of the media types see it as higher 6-7 pts. Listening to some of the ESPNU guys that looked at the matchups, here were some of the points mentioned:

• Oregon OTs are elite vs Penn State elite edge guys. we are assuming DDS is back full 100%. Can Oregon OTs protect QB?
• Oregon interior line vs PS DTs. Oregon avg IOL, but Penn State is done on DTs, so is this a push? Zane Durant impact?
• Oregon WRs big advantage over Penn State DBs
• RB is considered elite although not a big guy and not much depth.
• QB mobile and elite vs Penn State being able to deal with mobile QBs.
• Overall Oregon offense has more ways to succeed -
• Penn State OTs are avg against strong Oregon edge. Expect pressure on Allar.
• Penn State IOL vs Oregon DTs - advantage Oregon.
• Penn State RBs - Nick elite but Katron currently may be hurt. vs Oregon front 7 = limited run success.
• Penn State QB vs Oregon rush - advantage Oregon and will depend on Allar being mobile and running when open.
• Penn State WRs vs Oregon DBs - Oregon advantage.
• Penn State TEs vs Oregon safeties - Penn State advantage.
• did not discuss special teams.

most are picking for game to exceed over. similar to Ohio State game but higher scoring.

Who said the spread should be 6 to 7? Be specific please.

 

[Lionville]

Guess there's no reason to play this one. Let's head home and have a chicken cosmo.

If I were coaching PSU this game I’d play the 2’s and 3’s all game. Screw it. Keep the 1’s healthy for the playoffs.

 

[BobPSU92]

ICYMI

We Are! … For f*ck’s sake.

 

[BobPSU92]

If I were coaching PSU this game I’d play the 2’s and 3’s all game. Screw it. Keep the 1’s healthy for the playoffs.

And take a knee every play.

 

[EricStratton-RushChairman]

Working for a French company I often refer to their business strategy as "punt on first down"... That's what I suggest we roll with today

 

[Nits1989]

Amazing that Wisconsin nearly beat this super elite team...

Boise State too…

 

[blion72]

Who said the spread should be 6 to 7? Be specific please.

Brian Hartsock and Bobby Carpenter said 6-7 but Danny Wurfel was PSU might win.

on the video Mr Michigan said it would be Oregon "easy". not sure what that spread means.

 

[Grant Green]

Brian Hartsock and Bobby Carpenter said 6-7 but Danny Wurfel was PSU might win.

on the video Mr Michigan said it would be Oregon "easy". not sure what that spread means.

Did they say Oregon would win by 6 to 7 or the spread should be 6 to 7? different statements. If the latter, then they don't know what they're talking about and you shouldn't waste time listening.

 

[GreggK]

Did they say Oregon would win by 6 to 7 or the spread should be 6 to 7? different statements. If the latter, then they don't know what they're talking about and you shouldn't waste time listening.

I had a gambling question. If the line is 3.5 and down to 3 in some places, yet 85% of the money is going on Oregon, what does that say exactly?

 

[Midnighter]

Can’t believe Chalamet picked Oregon!

 

[Nittering Nabob]

Can’t believe Chalamet picked Oregon!

He sounds like he's French. What did you expect?

 

[Grant Green]

I had a gambling question. If the line is 3.5 and down to 3 in some places, yet 85% of the money is going on Oregon, what does that say exactly?

If there truly is that much money on oregon (I've seen similar on some sites but always take it with a grain of salt) and the line has moved towards psu, my guess is that a number of respected bettors are on psu and public money on oregon.

I took psu at +3.5.

 

[Midnighter]

He sounds like he's French. What did you expect?

He was the only one to pick Ohio to win today….

 

[leinbacker]

the point spread on this game has been 3-4 for a while. Most of the media types see it as higher 6-7 pts. Listening to some of the ESPNU guys that looked at the matchups, here were some of the points mentioned:

• Oregon OTs are elite vs Penn State elite edge guys. we are assuming DDS is back full 100%. Can Oregon OTs protect QB?
• Oregon interior line vs PS DTs. Oregon avg IOL, but Penn State is done on DTs, so is this a push? Zane Durant impact?
• Oregon WRs big advantage over Penn State DBs
• RB is considered elite although not a big guy and not much depth.
• QB mobile and elite vs Penn State being able to deal with mobile QBs.
• Overall Oregon offense has more ways to succeed -
• Penn State OTs are avg against strong Oregon edge. Expect pressure on Allar.
• Penn State IOL vs Oregon DTs - advantage Oregon.
• Penn State RBs - Nick elite but Katron currently may be hurt. vs Oregon front 7 = limited run success.
• Penn State QB vs Oregon rush - advantage Oregon and will depend on Allar being mobile and running when open.
• Penn State WRs vs Oregon DBs - Oregon advantage.
• Penn State TEs vs Oregon safeties - Penn State advantage.
• did not discuss special teams.

most are picking for game to exceed over. similar to Ohio State game but higher scoring.

What, no mention of Big Game James?