For you gamblers out there, lets talk who you like this week....

[Beretta.sixpack]

Let me start my disclaimer......any time i talk about my picks in an online forum, i win about 15% of the time, and that has held true this year, so take this with a grain of salt....

actually, last week, in college I went 1-6, only winning the LSU game on thursday nite....so I pulled a career first, going 0-6 on saturday.....<facepalming>.....worst saturday ever.....and then, on sunday/monday....I had another first, in nfl....7-0.....first time that's ever happened as well....

I've done very, very well betting on MSU games.....

so here's a few I like this week:

MSU -18....up to -19.5 now....will cover 24-28

love Pitt +6 at home against ND....now up +6.5.....I think it will go up more...

UF -18 over UK on the road....now up to -19......I watched both UF and UK last week, and UK is just down right awful....looks like an early crooms coached team....and UF is better than everyone gives them credit for....however, I do have one head scratcher on this game, I noticed the power rankings having UK +10 only, and a definate edge to UK against the spread....I just don't get that, and power rankings this year have been more accurate than I have seen them in years past.....FWIW....PR have MSU winning by 28 as well....

but again, read my disclaimer about when I post games I like online....its usually when I keep my mouth shut when I do some good.....

who ya got?</facepalming>

 

[fishwater99]

I am not sure we cover the spread vs LAtech.. They almost beat Houston, who is not a bad team at all.
I think we win, but may not be a total blowout...

I like
BYU -2.5
UGA -9.5 vs Bears
UF -19.5
LSU -5.5
OSU +3.5 @ A&M
Auburn -33.5

 

[rebelrouseri]

ark +12 @ bama (don't see bama demolishing them and they will run if they get a lead);
uf @ +19.5 uk (just too big of a number despite how bad uk is);
lsu -5.5 @wvu (won't be lighting up the scoreboard vs. that defense);
vandy +16 @ usc (sc passing game still not there and won't be against one of nation's best pass defenses).

I am thinking texas tech won't do -20 vs. Nevada but I don't know much about either.

 

[MonroeDawg]

I also took GA at -10 and BYU -3 but not too sure about those. My only problem with Arkansas at +12 is they gave up 457 yds to Troy and the game is at Bama this week. Just not sure enough about that one.</p>

 

[DAWG61]

recommend a site for bets? Here our the games I like but I don't have the lines. GTech over UNC (over means I think they cover the line) MichState over CMU, NDame over Pitt, SMU over Memphis, UGA over OM, Maryland over Temple, BC over UMass, OSU over Colorado, Clemson over FSU, OKState over aTm, Wash over Cal, Wisconsin over SDak, VTech over Marshall, Ark over Bama, Miami over KSU, FIU over ULL, USF over UTEP, UF over UK, Baylor over Rice, Vandy over USC, Neb over Wyoming, Boise over Tulsa, Okla over Mizzou, LSU over WVU, USC over AzState, Oregon over Arizona.

 

[maroonmaniac]

but Vegas likes to let everyone get a little comfortable and loose in the first 3 weeks before the plus(es)/minus(es) starting getting aLOT bigger and the picks get harder to get right. I will be making only 1 play this weekend...and it will be for the entire season's winnings-to-date! Win or Lose I am done for the season. Granted I know it's a big number but I just don't see how it won't be covered by halftime.

<font style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" face="Comic Sans MS">SMU -22
</font>

 

[MedDawg]

Didn't see this thread when I posted mine about 20 mins ago. Here they are:<div>
</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; ">Had a decent Saturday and an incredibly lucky Sunday. Made the mistake of quadrupling up on Houston -7/8 at LaTech, but made up for it by tripling up on Stanford -10 and Oklahoma State -14. </span><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; ">Have more picks than last week, not sure if there are more 'easy' picks or if I'm just overconfident from the good weekend:</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; ">Thursday:</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><b style="min-width: 0px; ">Cincinnati -8 vs NC State[/b](Cincy has been strong at home against weaker opponents, and hung tough with Tennessee 2 weeks ago. NC State lost to Wake and didn't beat Liberty or South Alabama by enough) </div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; ">Friday: Not picking UCF at BYU, although UCF +3 might be worth looking at.</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; ">Saturday:</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><b style="min-width: 0px; ">LSU -7 at West Virginia[/b](LSU just too strong, WVU struggled some vs Marshall and just barely beat Maryland. Now LSU -7.5)</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><b style="min-width: 0px; ">Florida State -2.5 at Clemson[/b](FSU has a lot of injuries, but they are still stronger than Clemson. Bad to be early on this one, now FSU +2. Oh well.) </div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><b style="min-width: 0px; ">Georgia -11.5 at Ole Miss[/b](Goes against my usual "pick against State and for OM to make myself feel better if we lose/OM wins" thing, but UGA will run it up)</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><b style="min-width: 0px; ">Alabama -11.5 vs Arkansas[/b](UArk showed a little weakness last week vs Troy? Plus, it's at Bama)</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><b style="min-width: 0px; ">Florida -21 at Kentucky[/b](UF just too strong, UK just lost to Louisville and too close against Western KY and Central Michigan.)</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><b style="min-width: 0px; ">UConn -9.5 at Buffalo[/b](UConn will be ready to rumble after 2 close losses to Vandy and IA State.)</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><b style="min-width: 0px; ">Texas Tech -23 vs Nevada[/b](TT has won 50-10 and 59-13 vs weak teams, Nevada is a weak team this year, lost by 49 at Oregon.)</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><b style="min-width: 0px; ">Oregon -14 at Arizona[/b](UO is good. Arizona just lost at home 37-10 to Stanford.)</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><b style="min-width: 0px; ">USC +3 at Arizona State[/b](USC is 3-0 including a win over Utah. AZ State not looking as strong as I thought they would this season)</div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div><div style="min-width: 0px; max-width: 99%; border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 2px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 2px; "><br style="min-width: 0px; "></div></div>

 

[MedDawg]

I am not sure we cover the spread vs LAtech.. They almost beat Houston, who is not a bad team at all.
I think we win, but may not be a total blowout...

I like
BYU -2.5
UGA -9.5 vs Bears
UF -19.5
LSU -5.5
OSU +3.5 @ A&M
Auburn -33.5

I thought about Auburn minus the points but passed, and am really tempted to take Ok State +3 at Texas A&M. Ok State has been really good to me so far this season, but looking at the scores I see TAMU has also been winning big. Still might go for either AU and/or OkSt.

 

[Dawg69]

Take Vandy and the 16.

 

[MedDawg]

but Vegas likes to let everyone get a little comfortable and loose in the first 3 weeks before the plus(es)/minus(es) starting getting aLOT bigger and the picks get harder to get right. I will be making only 1 play this weekend...and it will be for the entire season's winnings-to-date! Win or Lose I am done for the season. Granted I know it's a big number but I just don't see how it won't be covered by halftime.

<font style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" face="Comic Sans MS">SMU -22
</font>

<div>
</div>I stayed away from that at the time, but now you've convinced me to take SMU. Chickened out and bought points to take it down to SMU -21, though.<div>
</div><div>Also saw that for some reason, Texas Tech dropped to -20.5 vs Nevada. Doubled up on that one and the Thursday game Cincy -8, too.

</div>

 

[Beretta.sixpack]

close to 40 pts in each game.....I think AUs offense will be the best offense they have faced yet......on the road, at night in Auburn.....AU coming off big loss on the road...

Fla ATl's offense is so bad, that I think AU could even stop them....

they will cover 33 easily.......I'm actually thinking this may be my big game of the weekend....

 

[rebelrouseri]

asdf

 

[Kim Jong Il]

anyway for me.
i did pick LSU -7 and Georgia.
Stayed away from Bama game - will know more after this week. I find -11.5 maybe just a tab too much know realy know how bama plays against bigger offenses.
Think I will jump on the Cincinnati game.

 

[birdawg]

AU is too many pts for me. Their defense scares me here too<div>Decided to stay away from UGA OM game</div><div>
</div><div>Got:</div><div>Arky +11.5 however its a 1 unit for me</div><div>Vandy +16</div><div>LSU -6</div><div>SMU -21.5 This board convinced me, also1 unit though</div><div>OSU +4.5 risky but osu been playing well</div>

 

[maroonmaniac]

I'm liking the Cincy pick more and more as we get closer but still not sure that I'm going to play it. Also would beware of the USC/ASU play there... this to me just had sucker-bet written all over it. Erickson usually has his troops ready for big games. This ones at home and I just don't feel like USC has completely drank the Kiffen Kool-Aid. I know ASU has not played as well as they were projected to date but they have all the tools for sure!

 

[lowcountrydawg.sixpack]

or does the OVER in our game look like a major winner?

 

[JohnnyAppleseed]

Under 54 Georgia @ Ole Miss ( I don't see OM offense scoring many points at all and Georgia won't put up more than 35)
Florida -19.5 @ Kentucky (Florida is by far the best team in the East and Kentucky is downright terrible)
Under 50.5 Vanderbilt @ South Carolina (Vandys D is much improvedthis year however thisline worries me the most)

Let me hear how stupid I am

 

[squirldawg]

Florida State's defense is for real. This line is all out of wack with Florida State getting points. This is the ACC opener, so I don't see a hangover from the Oklahoma game. Clemson is a young team and while their offense looked good, it was against Auburn's defense. I believe Florida State will win by 14 +. <div>
</div><div>I love SMU over Memphis big, I think we win big and I like LSU.</div><div>
</div><div>Also -</div><div>East Carolina -13 over UAB</div><div>Miami -12.5 over Kansas State</div><div>Western Michigan +13.5 at Illinois</div><div>Florida -20 over Kentucky</div><div>Central Florida +3 at BYU</div><div>Boise State -31.5 over Tulsa</div><div>GA Tech -6 over UNC</div><div>Texas A&M -4 over Oklahoma St.</div><div>Auburn -33.5 over FAU</div>

 

[jackstefano]

asdf

 

[MedDawg]

Tripled up on Cincy last night so I've started ahead. <div>
</div><div>Added a double amt. for UCF +3 (bought 1/2 point) at BYU tonight. I don't like picking visiting teams, but I think UCF is a better team and BYU is way down on themselves after getting shelled at home by Utah. Plus, UCF has the #1 passing defense so far this season.<div>
</div><div>As far as parlays/teasers, I won a two team teaser a couple weeks ago, but I don't think I had ever won in my 3-4 previous tries. But this week's just look so tempting and I'm ahead enough over the past month to play with some, so I went a little nuts:</div><div>
</div><div>9.5 pt teaser,12 teams, about 10:1 (might as well play the lottery, too)</div><div>LSU +2</div><div>Florida -11.5</div><div>Texas Tech -8</div><div>Mississippi State -10</div><div>Oklahoma -10.5</div><div>Oregon -7</div><div>Auburn -22</div><div>SMU -14</div><div>Florida State +11</div><div>Alabama -1.5</div><div>UConn +0.5</div><div>Ok State +13</div><div>
</div><div>Some more reasonable ones, but still very tough to win:</div><div>
</div><div>4 team parlay, about 12:1</div><div>Florida -20</div><div>Texas Tech -17</div><div>LSU -6.5</div><div>Oklahoma -20</div><div>
</div><div><div>4 team parlay, about 12:1</div><div>Florida -20</div><div>Texas Tech -20</div><div>LSU -6.5</div><div>Oregon -10</div></div><div>
</div><div>6 point teaser, 6 teams, 6:1</div><div>Florida -14</div><div>Texas Tech -14</div><div>LSU -0.5</div><div>Oklahoma -15</div><div>Oregon -10</div><div>Mississippi State -14</div><div>
</div><div>6 point teaser, 4 teams, 3:1 </div><div>Florida -14</div><div>Texas Tech -14</div><div>LSU -0.5</div><div>Oregon -10</div><div>
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