My mistake for some reason in my mind they lost that ECU game.
We have a Top 15 RPI and are 15-12 in the number one RPI conference. We absolutely have a host resume as of today.
With this team anything could happen. But Missouri just lost 2 to Auburn at home. If we don’t go 4-0 this week, we don’t deserve to host.
I never said we’d suck. My preseason prediction was we’d make the tournament. We’re definitely better than that prediction. But there’s still way too many glaring flaws in this team. The time to fire Lemonis was last year. That was his benefit of the doubt year. We just prolonged the inevitable for 2 more years.
His first two teams don’t count? Funny, the first two teams were constantly used against Cohen, but Lemonis doesn’t get credit? I’m confused on the grading scale here.
Lemonis took 2 really stacked teams that had the Mississippi State grit, desire and passion to Omaha.
I think you’re missing the point.
Yes as of today we’d host. Problem is other teams have ways to get better. Our resume can only get worse really.
would agree, but both South Carolina and Alabama could play their way in to host based on next weekend and Hoover.
I just don’t see SC winning two in Knoxville which they’d likely need to do. And Bama is a bad road team and would likely need to sweep at Auburn. I think either of them hosting is very much on the unlikely side at the moment.
But SC and Alabamas RPIs are so good, and will only get better IF they get those wins.
Yes, even one loss to Mizzou would hurt and might necessitate us needing a Q1 win in Hoover to make up for it (I think everyone in Hoover is in the Top 50 so any win there would be a decent to good one).
SC doesn’t need 2 in Knoxville. They need the sweep. They aren’t hosting at 15-15 in conference play. Neither is Bama, who already has 15 losses. But if any of them were to somehow do it, it would be Bama, as they have the #2 overall SOS.
The committee split hairs last season and multiple seasons pasts. 10-12 rpi spots are huge
How’d they split hairs in that way last season? The only team that didn’t host in the SEC that arguably could have was Tennessee. They were 16-14. There was no 15-15 or 14-16 team that took their spot. Everyone that hosted had that same record or better.
I’m not worried about South Carolina. I’m worried about 2nd Big 12 team like Oklahoma State and UC Santa Barbara. Our rpi will definitely drop with our final four games. If those teams have a better roi in the end or even if they are only 1 or 2 spots behind us., it will be very tempting for the committee to get a better regional distribution, especially to the West Coast.
I feel like the odds of everybody on the hosting bubble all going undefeated simultaneously are extremely low. Saying we should be fine if we sweep Mizzou is just an assumption based on probable percentages.
We do not need 6 more wins to host, barring some insanely wacky finish to the year.
Really needed that W yesterday.
We need to go 4-0 and win 1 or 2 in Hoover to get a Host spot.
There’s plenty on here who disagree and come May 27th I hope I was wrong but I just don’t see us making it without a 5-2 or 6-2 next two weeks.
What a lot of yall are forgetting is that each new game counts less towards the RPI calculation than the one before it. The wild swings based on SOS only are done when you’ve played 50+ games.
Didn’t happen last year but has happened in the past. And last year it did happen where teams made the tournament that were 2-3 games worse in conference but had better rpis
North Carolina state lost 48 point and dropped 10 rpi spots by beating Norfolk state this past mid week.
Agree. We go 4-0 most likely be fine. But again our resume is basically set. Other teams aren’t. And last year no team with an rpi above 19 hosted.
48 points would drop us to 21. Then sweep Missouri gets us somewhere between 17-19. That should be enough to host.
Sweep of Missouri isn’t going to move us though is the thing.
I think the ACC teams you mentioned can move ahead of us potentially and it wouldn’t take anything too crazy. I think SC’s path to leap frogging us now is incredibly difficult.
Agreed. The acc is a real threat. Along with Oklahoma state.
I would add Arizona as a possible threat as well. 26 in the RPI but they currently lead the PAC 12 and have a huge series against Oregon State this weekend. If Arizona wins the series, it’s possible there are two Pac 12 hosts.
You guys need to quit trying to come up with these rational arguments where there is a path to us hosting. It's really getting in the way of huntdawg's main point, which is that Mississippi State sucks and every other team is awesome and has a clear path to victory. Come on guys, let the man speak.
I think 4-0 + a win in Hoover would just about clinch it. 4-0 without that win is probably better than 50-50. Key is keeping RPI in top 20. Hard to see an 18-win SEC team in the top 20 not hosting.
