Our defense is very good. I was telling skeptics around me before the season started they looked on paper to be really good and should be, and everyone was saying yeah right, 4-8.
Here’s the real question in my mind. The OP says he’s trying to figure out where the 6th win could come from. You say you are still hoping for playoff (probably requires 10-2). You seem to have caught a lot of heat for even throwing that out as a hope. My question is which is more likely, 5 wins or 10 wins? I’m sure almost everyone on here would say well of course 5 wins, with us sitting at 3-1 with 8 to play. That’s probably correct but I believe the most likely outcome to this season is 7-8 wins putting us squarely in the middle of the potential range.
I think you could plausibly make a case 5 wins is about as unlikely as 10 wins. Toss out the 2 non-conference games, we destroyed one and struggled against the other winning both but those games don’t tell us much IMO. In the conference games we blew out a Kentucky team that most people expected to be good this year, and that lost by 1 point to the best team in the conference. Then we lost a game against LSU, considered one of the better teams in the conference, on a game that went down to a FG attempt on last play in which we lost our QB for second half and had multiple scores called back on penalties. The game could have easily been a blowout if the refs practiced the same discretion calling penalties on us that they showed for LSU.
so I have a hard time given what we’ve seen so far having anything other than an attitude that we have potential to be competitive in most if not all remaining games. What would it take to only win 5 games? we have Wofford and Vandy, a team that looks improved but still a team we’ve beaten 15 years in a row and absolutely dismantled last year. They’ve lost to Georgia State. Assuming no big upset in those 2 games we’d have to lose out in the other 6 games. Now most of these teams are good teams. But I think we’ve shown we are a good team. I’m not sure I buy that we’ve shown we have some fundamental weakness that teams like Oklahoma (beat Houston by 4), Mizzou (beat Vandy in OT), or Texas AM (just beat bowling Green by 6) haven’t also shown at times this year. I personally find it highly unlikely we would lose out in all those games and it’s mildly insulting as a Gamecock fan to see people suggesting this is likely (trying to find that 6th win) while dismissing the possibility of a run to a top 12 spot as preposterous. Do I think we will make the playoffs this year? Heck no, but it’s only a little less likely than us going 0-6 the rest of the way outside Wofford/Vandy. Just based on what we’ve seen so far that’s my opinion anyway