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March Madness betting thread

pseudonym

pseudonym

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Oct 6, 2022
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Here's what I have so far...

First Four:
  • Texas ML +131
Round of 64:
  • Creighton ML +117
  • Baylor ML +105
  • Memphis ML +106
  • Ole Miss ML +100
Round of 32:
  • Ole Miss ML +177
To reach Sweet Sixteen:
  • Purdue +134
    • HEDGE: McNeese ML +211 (86.6% return w/ Purdue win; breakeven w/ McNeese win)
  • Texas A&M +119
    • HEDGE: Michigan ML +125 (39% return w/ A&M win; breakeven w/ Michigan win)
  • Kentucky +105
Sweet Sixteen:
  • Ole Miss ML +126
To reach the Elite Eight:
  • Tennessee +124
    • HEDGE: Kentucky ML +157 (60.3% return w/ Tennessee win; breakeven w/ Kentucky win)
  • Alabama +120
    • HEDGE: BYU ML +156 (55.9% return w/ Alabama win; breakeven w/ BYU win)
Midwest Region winner:
  • Houston +105
    • HEDGE: Tennessee ML +128 (26.9% return w/ Houston win; breakeven w/ Tennessee win)
Final Four:
  • Auburn ML +123
return going into championship game: +43.4%
 
Last edited:
615dawg

615dawg

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Jun 4, 2007
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I noticed that RobinHood has futures contracts for NCAA Mens and Women's games. Not quite as high as betting, but a good way to make 25-30% on your money this weekend, especially on the women's side with little downside.

You can buy Mississippi State futures for 0.52 right now. If we get to a 5 point lead, you can sell for 0.65.

Ole Miss women are 0.89 - that's an easy 13 percent profit.
Our women are at 0.72

Some others that look profitable

Michigan is 0.61
Texas A&M is 0.75
Maryland is 0.83
Oregon is 0.73
Arizona is 0.89
Clemson is 0.76
Purdue is 0.77
Kentucky is 0.86
 
Last edited:
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thatsbaseball

thatsbaseball

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May 29, 2007
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If I've learned anything about betting on the tournament it's never bet against Michigan State LOL
 
jethreauxdawg

jethreauxdawg

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Dec 20, 2010
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pseudonym said:
Here's what I have so far...

First Four:
  • Texas ML +131
Round of 64:
  • Creighton ML +117
  • Memphis ML +106
  • Ole Miss ML +100
To reach Sweet Sixteen:
  • Purdue +134
  • Texas A&M +119
  • Kentucky +105
To reach the Elite Eight:
  • Tennessee +124
  • Alabama +120
Midwest Region winner:
  • Houston +105

If any of the multiple round picks win games, I'll consider cashing out.
Click to expand...
Do you bet this evenly? Or are you betting one of them heavier than others?
 
pseudonym

pseudonym

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Oct 6, 2022
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jethreauxdawg said:
Do you bet this evenly? Or are you betting one of them heavier than others?
Click to expand...
Yes. I generally look for plays that are coin flips or better that I can get for +100 or better. I just need to win half of the coin flips.

In this case, I'm hoping 11 vs. 11, 9 vs. 8, 5 vs. 12, and 6 vs. 11 are at least coin flips.

The exception is the Ole Miss play. That is just an "I can't lose" bet. I hope I can get Baylor at +100 or better as well.
 
pseudonym

pseudonym

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Oct 6, 2022
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I don’t play O/Us, but at 144.5, our game feels like an over.
 
F

Fighting Irish.sixpack

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Oct 26, 2012
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Bet $10 on all the money line under dogs in the first round. There are so many upsets that you are guaranteed to finish round 1 in the black.
 
F

Fighting Irish.sixpack

Well-known member
Oct 26, 2012
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Let’s see how this plays out tomorrow.. $20 bet. Below are the underdogs and payout on $20


initial investment for Thursday = $320



creighton 24
High point. 58
montana. 220
siu. 700
alabama state. 460
mcnese. 54
vcu. 24
georgia 52
wofford. 260
arkansas. 34
yale 54
drake 44
utah st. 40
nebraska omaha where Lemonhead will never go again. 260
ucsd 26
nc willmington 190
 
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pseudonym

pseudonym

Well-known member
Oct 6, 2022
3,514
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Fighting Irish.sixpack said:
Let’s see how this plays out tomorrow.. $20 bet. Below are the underdogs and payout on $20


initial investment for Thursday = $320



creighton 24
High point. 58
montana. 220
siu. 700
alabama state. 460
mcnese. 54
vcu. 24
georgia 52
wofford. 260
arkansas. 34
yale 54
drake 44
utah st. 40
nebraska omaha where Lemonhead will never go again. 260
ucsd 26
nc willmington 190
Click to expand...
I’m afraid your wins aren’t going to cover your losses.
 
F

Fighting Irish.sixpack

Well-known member
Oct 26, 2012
1,660
518
102
Fighting Irish.sixpack said:
Let’s see how this plays out tomorrow.. $20 bet. Below are the underdogs and payout on $20


initial investment for Thursday = $320



creighton 24
High point. 58
montana. 220
siu. 700
alabama state. 460
mcnese. 54
vcu. 24
georgia 52
wofford. 260
arkansas. 34
yale 54
drake 44
utah st. 40
nebraska omaha where Lemonhead will never go again. 260
ucsd 26
nc willmington 190
Click to expand...
-64 with 1 game left.

if Texas tech wins, I am down 84.

if uncw wins, I am up $126
 
M

MSUDC11-2.0

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Sep 29, 2022
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BYU-Wisconsin was game of the tourney so far. If Bama wins tomorrow, take the the over in Bama-BYU in the Sweet 16. That game may end 120-119.
 
pseudonym

pseudonym

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Oct 6, 2022
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I took the Ole Miss ML in all three games and made some money.

But if you’re a State fan that took Ole Miss +3.5, you got the best of both worlds: Ole Miss loss AND the ATS win on that buzzer beater.
 
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jethreauxdawg

jethreauxdawg

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Dec 20, 2010
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pseudonym said:
I took the Ole Miss ML in all three games and made some money.

But if you’re a State fan that took Ole Miss +3.5, you got the best of both worlds: Ole Miss loss AND the ATS win on that buzzer beater.
Click to expand...
The line was +3.5? Crazy.
 
pseudonym

pseudonym

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Oct 6, 2022
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What do y’all like in the semis? The value is on Auburn and Houston imo.

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