Looking at the schedule and barring outlier events (e.g. key personnel injuries), it is highly likely that MSU will win only two more games: Auburn and ETSU. The remaining games will more than likely be losses but there will be no "embarassing" losses as the team will be or appear to be "competitive."
Sure, it is possible that there will be a game that MSU shouldn't have won will go MSU's way to make them 6-6, but that will be a best-case scenario and will also caused by an outlier.
For these and other reasons, Leach's retention will remain unthreatened because there will be insufficent justification to make any head coaching changes. The team will be just competitive enough and intriguing enough ("Air Raid" schtick) to keep fans cautiously optimistic. Will Rogers will be returning for another year which will help create stability (or the promise of stability), but much more importantly, it is too risky and too expensive for MSU to make changes. It will be easier to attempt to justify a change if Year 4 is a less than a 6-6 record -- which is very unlikely. In short, he'd have to implode --which is also highly unlikely.
Furthermore, if (when) Leach goes 7-5 (or better) and beats Ole Miss (in Starkville) in Year 4, he will be a lock for a 5th year. So reagrdless if you jump off the Leach bandwagon in the next 2-3 weeks of losses, settle in and buckle up -- you will see Leach coaching MSU through at least 2024 or longer -- much to the chagrin of many 6-packers
Sure, it is possible that there will be a game that MSU shouldn't have won will go MSU's way to make them 6-6, but that will be a best-case scenario and will also caused by an outlier.
For these and other reasons, Leach's retention will remain unthreatened because there will be insufficent justification to make any head coaching changes. The team will be just competitive enough and intriguing enough ("Air Raid" schtick) to keep fans cautiously optimistic. Will Rogers will be returning for another year which will help create stability (or the promise of stability), but much more importantly, it is too risky and too expensive for MSU to make changes. It will be easier to attempt to justify a change if Year 4 is a less than a 6-6 record -- which is very unlikely. In short, he'd have to implode --which is also highly unlikely.
Furthermore, if (when) Leach goes 7-5 (or better) and beats Ole Miss (in Starkville) in Year 4, he will be a lock for a 5th year. So reagrdless if you jump off the Leach bandwagon in the next 2-3 weeks of losses, settle in and buckle up -- you will see Leach coaching MSU through at least 2024 or longer -- much to the chagrin of many 6-packers