We know a few things to be fact:
1) We have to recruit Mississippi hard, since it's a big source of players right next to us (both high school and JUCO);
2) We have to use our smaller NIL first and foremost to keep our good players on campus;
3) Our out-of-state players have a bigger propensity to transfer at the first sign of trouble.
During the last 20 years we've had success (and Mullen actively did this) by recruiting the leftovers in Louisiana, Alabama, Tennessee, Arkansas, and some in Georgia/Texas/Florida. We could drive there, and the big boys could not take them all, so we had an advantage. Now, it appears these guys are looking to transfer back home the first time something doesn't go their way. Brule, Knox, Marshall, RaRa, possibly Woody, Hargrove, some others that won't be named - those guys are trying to go to our competitors. Now let's look at the guys from MS: Cavazos, Buys this year, all the guys from last year - they are likely headed to USM, and truth be known, there's much less of them.
So I think we need to change our strategy. Our high school guys need to to be almost exclusively MS or guys with very strong ties. We have to minimize the transfer out, maximize the transfer in. That means taking committed high schoolers, JUCOs (they only have 2 years to play so likely won't transfer unless they suck), and then raiding the rosters of other SEC programs to get the talented out-of-staters that are stuck on the bench (or, guys like Matthews and Mosley who left but want to get closer to home). We are essentially gaining some star power and trading out the diamonds in the rough we used to get from AL/LA high school.
That's my take. I just don't see much use in messing with leftover out-of-staters high schoolers anymore, if we can just go get them in the portal off of other P5 teams. Just not profitable to waste that time anymore unless 1 - the kid has a strong tie, like Parson, or 2 - a coach or big alumnus has a strong tie to a kid/area. Mullen's '5-hour radius' that involved several states was a good strategy in 2010, but it's become outdated.
1) We have to recruit Mississippi hard, since it's a big source of players right next to us (both high school and JUCO);
2) We have to use our smaller NIL first and foremost to keep our good players on campus;
3) Our out-of-state players have a bigger propensity to transfer at the first sign of trouble.
During the last 20 years we've had success (and Mullen actively did this) by recruiting the leftovers in Louisiana, Alabama, Tennessee, Arkansas, and some in Georgia/Texas/Florida. We could drive there, and the big boys could not take them all, so we had an advantage. Now, it appears these guys are looking to transfer back home the first time something doesn't go their way. Brule, Knox, Marshall, RaRa, possibly Woody, Hargrove, some others that won't be named - those guys are trying to go to our competitors. Now let's look at the guys from MS: Cavazos, Buys this year, all the guys from last year - they are likely headed to USM, and truth be known, there's much less of them.
So I think we need to change our strategy. Our high school guys need to to be almost exclusively MS or guys with very strong ties. We have to minimize the transfer out, maximize the transfer in. That means taking committed high schoolers, JUCOs (they only have 2 years to play so likely won't transfer unless they suck), and then raiding the rosters of other SEC programs to get the talented out-of-staters that are stuck on the bench (or, guys like Matthews and Mosley who left but want to get closer to home). We are essentially gaining some star power and trading out the diamonds in the rough we used to get from AL/LA high school.
That's my take. I just don't see much use in messing with leftover out-of-staters high schoolers anymore, if we can just go get them in the portal off of other P5 teams. Just not profitable to waste that time anymore unless 1 - the kid has a strong tie, like Parson, or 2 - a coach or big alumnus has a strong tie to a kid/area. Mullen's '5-hour radius' that involved several states was a good strategy in 2010, but it's become outdated.