I'm admittedly not a sports wagerer, thus I don't understand the generous number of points (17 - 18) the bookies are affording PSU.
I think Illinois is a very difficult opponent for PSU and could very well win the game outright. Beilima has already demonstrated that he knows how to kick Franklin's arse to the curb with lesser talent. While the "White Out" can be intimidating, Illinois has shown that they can play well in a hostile environment at night.
PSU Offense vs Illinois Defense
Illinois has a large D-line and doesn't hesitate to play 5 - 7 men at or near the line of scrimmage daring the opponent to run the ball while relying on 5 - 7 defensive backs, who are aggressive and physical, to defend the pass. Nebraska struggled with this look as did Kansas. By the time the 4th quarter rolled around, Illinois D-line was dominating the LOS and their D-backs, especially #14, were ball hawks.
PSU's OL has been relatively good in pass protection but hasn't demonstrated an ability to consistently open up running lanes, especially between the tackles.
Illinois Offense vs PSU Defense
Illinois' offensive line, in true Beilima fashion, is huge and semi-mobile. Sure they grab and hold, but if unflagged they can certainly open holes for their RB's and give their QB ample time for quick short throws without fear of getting sacked. We all know PSU's D-Line is again woefully undersized this season to effectively compete in the expanded B1G. By the 4th quarter, Illinois should be able to run and pass the ball at will as they did against the Jayhawks and Huskers.
T
ell me why I shouldn't bet the majority of my life estate for Illinois to cover a 17.5 point deficit and the residual of my life estate for them to win outright?
What am I not understanding?