based on a losing season in 08 I would say put him on the hot seat in 2009. it is too many losing seasons for me regardless of the situation.
but I don't really care about the ranking for total offense as much as you. i realize that anyone can see that we have a solid defense that is hindered by a less than mediocre offense. in theory, if we were to increase offensive productivity AND continue to do well defensively then we should have better seasons. the problem with your scenario is that the defense could very well be worse next year, the offense better, and we still get a 5-7 season. so for me, i would say put him on the hot seat regardless of the rankings of our Defense or Offense. Of course I see where you are coming from though.
more to back up my argument:
Teams that were ranked in the top 50 in
Total Offense last year and had losing seasons:
12 (this does not include teams that went 6-6 and lost their bowl game)
Team.....Ranking.....Season Record
Nebraska...#7...5-7
Toledo...#17...5-7
Washington State...#21...5-7
New Mexico State...#26...4-9
UTEP...#27...4-8
SMU...#29...1-11
K State...#33...5-7
Marshall...#39...3-9
N. Texas...#41...2-10
Minnesota...#43...1-11
U. Lousiana Laf....#45...3-9
Rice...#47...3-9
http://robots.cnnsi.com/football/ncaa/stats/2007/divia/team/total_offense_byTOT_YDS_PER_GAME.html
The reason this happens in my opinion is because we are comparing apples to oranges when looking at rankings of offense based on Total Offense if we don't consider the rankings of Total Defense of the teams that each team plays during the year. For example, with SMU, Rice, and Marshall all ranking in the top 50 in total offense but have losing seasons makes you wonder what the rankings for Total Defense were in C-USA.
We played 6 teams this season that were ranked in the top 50 in Total Defense. (#'s 3, 4, 11, 34, 36, and 50 (tie at 50))
SMU on the other hand played 4 teams this season that were ranked in the to 50 in Total Defense (#'s 21, 47, 49, and 50). So I would say that their Total Offense numbers are inflated. Is there offense probably better than ours...Yes. Is it over 70 teams better...probably not.
I have to add that I would really like to see us in the top 100 in total offense with the defense sustaining its success but I don't really care if we are dead last as long as we are continuing to win.</p>