FWIW On3 Industry Recruiting Rankings since PSU's last win against OSU:
2017: OSU 2, PSU 17, M4
2018: OSU 2, PSU 5, M 22
2019: OSU 15, PSU 10, M 7
2020: OSU 5, PSU 14, M 10
2021: OSU 2, PSU 18, M 15
2022: OSU 4, PSU 7, M9
2023: OSU 4, PSU 14, M 18
Average: OSU 4.8, PSU 12.1, M 12.1
After the B1G championship turnaround season, Franklin is
3-4 against Michigan the last 7 meetings, not 0-7 as some seem to imply.
That said, while the impetus behind Michigan's recent rise has been debated, it is certainly "recent". Recruiting rankings with Michigan average to be identical within that timeframe at approximately #12. And the last 2 have been during Michigan playoff years. So 3-4 stinks, but it isn't a statistical proof of coaching failure.
OSU recruiting in that timeframe has been at a different level, averaging a 4.8 team ranking. The Jimmys and the Joes explains the OSU record, despite admittedly frustrating and disappointing missed opportunities.
Yet for context, since Penn State last beat Ohio State, Ohio State has only lost 9 (nine)
TOTAL games, of which 3 were the last few years against Michigan, and 3 were in major bowl games.
A couple other points:
- While recruiting does not win championships as demonstrated by Texas A&M, it certainly can
hinder championship contention when you operate at a talent deficit. Similarly, NIL doesn't
win recruiting but it can
prohibit a team from winning a recruitment. The current tie between NIL and recruiting rankings is undeniable, regardless of how much charisma or lack thereof a coaching staff may exhibit.
- Franklin has benefitted Penn State football immensely by what he has done off the field. Had he not been sounding the alarm about facilities, NIL, assistant coaches, analysts, etc., alarms that are often scorned and held as a source of amusement by fans, then PSU would be falling even further behind.
- The "who would be the replacement" topic is not peripheral; it is INTERGRAL to this discussion / debate (whatever it is perceived to be). Franklin does not coach in a vacuum. With the inherit limitations, lack of fan investment, etc. as another poster stated above, there is no reason to logically think that a replacement coach would lead to Georgia outcomes instead of Nebraska outcomes. And any such new hire would inherently face the same challenges; would they be willing to fight for the football program as Franklin has? Will recruits flock to a "big name" if they are getting a completely different level of NIL elsewhere? Perhaps, but it seems to be based on hope as opposed to logic or likelihood.