A 1 loss Michigan/Ohio State that didn’t make their conference championship game isn’t getting in over a bunch of 1 loss conference champions.
So if #2 Ohio States only loss is by one on the road to probable #1 Michigan, they aren’t in the playoffs ? I don’t think so.
Absolutely not because Ohio State losing would drop them at least 3 spots and if they’re not playing on Dec 2 and Texas, Bama, and Oregon all win on Dec 2 against highly ranked teams, Ohio State is out of the conversation almost immediately when the committee meets
3 spots behind who ? Texas ? FSU without Travis ? I don’t think so. You’ve got an sec bias here. 2 out of the best 3 teams in the country are big ten this year.
Texas is not a playoff team neither is fsu, they would be with Travis but not now.
Ohio State would drop from 2 to 5 with Michigan moving up, Washington moves up, Florida State assuming they win given the options from the poll.
Because the B1G isn’t strong enough as a conference to warrant a 1-loss team that didn’t even win its division being admitted. A 1-loss Washington would have a better argument than either one. No way in hell is the B1G getting 2 teams in when they are only the 3rd strongest conference behind the SEC and PAC.
And how is talking about teams not in the SEC “having a SEC bias”? I’m the only person that I’ve seen on the board that has even approached the idea that the SEC could possibly be left out completely. Are you sure you’re on the right message board? You seem to have a B1G Ten bias.
That’s pretty easy. UGA and Texas get the boot. Champs of the 3 best conferences are in automatically. FSU gets the last spot as an undefeated champ.
Lol, my only bias is saying if you have undefeated #2 and undefeated #3 play a game at the end of the year, the one loss loser of that game will get consideration for the playoffs and not be left out of the conversation. Big ten has had 2 of the top 3 teams all year and Ohio State has been #1 most of the year.
Jesus Christ…..what a putrid take. Your opinion of what FSU is without Travis doesn’t 17ing matter. They’d be the only undefeated P5 champion besides the B1G winner. There’s no way they’d get left out.
The rankings came out in the middle of all this conversation.
Probably, I’m just calling it how I see it. 5 best teams are Georgia, Alabama, Ohio State, Michigan and Washington. need an expanded playoff. If Travis is healthy, I’d have FSU in the top 4.
I think Oregon would beat 3-4 of the teams you listed. I guess we are all entitled to our opinion.
Well first off, maybe work on the reading comprehension. This entire thread is about what happens if they go 13-0. They will 100% be in the playoff in that scenario no matter what. 12-1 or 11-2 is another discussion for another thread.
No chance. SEC recently overtook the PAC 12 as the #1 conference in the latest power rankings. Gap is not as big as its been in past years, but SEC is still objectively the best league, and a one-loss conference champion of the best league is getting in no matter what….especially over a 1-loss champ of the 4th best league (Big 12) - regardless of the outcome of one head-to-head matchup in Week 2 when both teams looked totally different than they do now. Consider that Bama would have wins over a CFP Top 5 UGA, CFP Top 15 LSU, CFP Top 15 Ole Miss, CFP Top 20-25 Tennessee, and only loss to a CFP Top 5-6 team. Texas would have just the Bama win, KSU win (Top 15?) , and a win and loss to another Top 15 in OU. Bama would just have the better resume.
Correct on all counts, for a change.
Lmao, I usually just skim over your hot air Perd, you’ve shoveled so much manure this year about Arnett and this staff it’s tough to read.
I’m sure for someone like you who obviously can’t read, it is tough to read. I never backed Arnett, Barbay, or the staff anymore than the next guy. Only noted the ridiculousness of your suggestions that the offense was way worse than last year and we should have stuck with the Air Raid and kept the entire previous staff….which your boys Spurrier and Hollinghead heard and thus decided to apparently spend an entire 3 months making you look like a laughingstock….at their own expense. And by the way, as terrible as our offense has been, we are STILL averaging more points per Will Rodgers start than we did last year.
That’s fantastic. But that’s not how the college football playoff works. TCU would have gotten their doors blown off by Alabama last year, too. But believe it or not, the outcomes of the actual football games matter.
Again, the committee doesn’t get to just up and decide they aren’t as good as they were before because their QB got hurt. If they beat UF and beat Louisville, they are in. If they don’t do both of those things, they probably aren’t. Its that simple. Could Florida win? Maybe. But putting it at even 25% chance is pretty bold, given how each team has looked this year.
My favorite chaos scenario:
That would make a lot of people unhappy but would be a funny one. ESPN is obviously weighted heavy on OSU and Michigan based on their predictor.
You’re forgetting their OM win. I hope that ends up being not a quality win because it means we beat that azz on Thursday. But, OM is currently #12. Mizzou is #9. Tennessee will also be a Top 20 win after its all said and done….they are #21, finish with Vandy, and have a little bit of guaranteed upheaval in front of them.
I don't think any of that will matter. I don't think any conference has shown enough this year to justify putting a team that didn't win their conference in the playoffs.
I generally agree. Overall I was just saying I don’t think that the cancelled OU game changed anything for UGA….their path is the same regardless. A 4th win against a Top 20 team wouldn’t move the needle much. If the chalk holds, UGA is probably on the outside looking in if they don’t beat Bama.
Agreed on both counts. But on the 2nd one, I’d clarify that its the same for the SEC. Undefeated or 1-loss SEC is guaranteed to be in. Its the strongest league.
Don’t see this happening at all. People don’t understand how bad the Big 10 is. Only the 3rd best league and it’s only rated that highly based on the strength of OSU / UM. Heading into the final weekend, 10 of 14 teams in the Big 10 are 6-5 or worse. It’s just not a good league. Whoever loses between OSU / Michigan isn’t going to have any quality wins on their resume that move the needle for the committee. That’s why the loser of OSU / Michigan is going to drop like a rock in the final rankings.
Generally agree, but we’ll see. The problem Texas has is that they have the Bama win, but not much else to hang their hat on. Next best win is Kansas State, who is #19 (and could drop further with a loss to ISU). They play in a weak league (4th rated in conference strength), and they’ve looked pretty mediocre for about a month straight. Their loss to OU is also the worst loss of any of the 8 teams in the hunt for a CFP bid. They need to beat TT, look good doing it, and root for an OSU loss and OU win so that they can right that wrong in the Big 12 title game. They also need to be rooting against FSU. They probably have nothing to worry about at all if they TCB and FSU doesn’t.
I don’t think it’s tricky at all for the 1-loss B1G. Texas would get the nod. It gets more messy if you have a 1-loss Washington in there.
I don't disagree with any of this per se but even if UTex misses the chance to play OU again, I think a ten point win on the road against Bama is going to make them safe if it comes down to a 12-1 UT and a 12-1 UGA. Probably shouldn't put that much weight on one game just because it involved a mutual opponent, and I think the playoff committee appears to have mostly avoided politics, but I think that would be a bridge too far.
I think this is all very accurate. At gunpoint, I think the committee would use the Bama result as the tiebreaker between Texas and UGA, under normal circumstances where there were no crazy fluke outcomes or controversial calls or no-calls in either championship game. That plus the known weight that the committee puts on a conference title likely tilts it to Texas.
