Very interesting odds on SEC team wins by Vegas....

[Coach34]

East

1. Fla- 10 wins- money leaning over (-130)
2. Jawja- 9 1/2 wins- money leaning under (-140)
3. Tenn- 8 wins- money even both ways
4. SC- 7 1/2- money heavy on over (-150)
5. Vandy- 3 wins- over (-125)
6. Kentucky wasnt listed

West

1. LSU- 9 wins- money even on both
2. Auburn- 9 wins- money on over (-130)
3. Bammer- 7 1/2- money on over (-130)
4. State- 6 1/2- money on OVER (-135)
5. UPig- 5 1/2- money big over (-150)
6. Mississippi- 5 1/2- money even

Seems Vegas likes us to win more than 6, is very worried Georgia cant win 10 games, and feels SC to win at least 8 is likely...

 

[maygray1]

.

 

[Dawg725]

That is the moneyline...if you bet 100 bucks...you would win 65 bucks...if it were +135 and you bet 100 bucks, you would win 135 bucks...

 

[Coach34]

that we will win at least 7 games

 

[Jack At Shelter]

That is the moneyline...if you bet 100 bucks...you would win 65 bucks...if it were +135 and you bet 100 bucks, you would win 135 bucks...

If you bet $135, you win $100 on a -135 moneyline
</p>

 

[ShrubDog]

Regular Season games. Bowl games and conf. championships are not included. I like where the juice is for us.

That is usually the terms.

 

[GopherDawg]

on how odds makers think people will bet. not on what odds makers think will happen.

In other words, vegas doesn't necessarily think we'll win seven games, they think 6.5 and -135 over will get people to bet 50/50.

 

[Coach34]

on how odds makers think people will bet. not on what odds makers think will happen.

In other words, vegas doesn't necessarily think we'll win seven games, they think 6.5 and -135 over will get people to bet 50/50.

</p>Vegas thinks more people will bet over 6 1/2 on us this season, thus having to bet 13.50 to win 10.00. Vegas has set the odds for under 6 1/2 at +110. So, if you bet the under, you bet 10 to win 11.

Vegas is of the opinion people will bet on us to to win 7 games.

 

[Spotdawg]

I love the Vegas lines as a baseline. Those guys are some of the best mathematicians and weathermen of public sentiment that exist. They are Good. They Win. But those numbers are not for us here in MS.

But let's look at a couple of ideas:
1 - most of the money layed in Vegas is NV or CA money....thus it is sentiment or uninformed money for the most part. (Let's leave the pro money outta this.) " Mississippi State? Hey they won 8 games last year? Hell, drop the hammer this year!" I am amazed that looking at the Holiday Inn Express poll reflects about the same results.
2 - The spread is a baseline for most of the action around here also.....UNTIL it gets outta line and then they adjust on a local basis. Never wanna get too far out or too extended. (ask Vegas about letting action getting out of line for the Super Bowl.....they took a big bath.)

All that to say: results are not guaranteed and may differ in your locale.

(Sidenote? A Vegas insider gave me an obvious tip that has changed my betting philosophy. See #1...since most of the action is NV and CA based....the bets are naturally centric based...thus throwing the smart action to the favor of the Don't against the NV and CA teams....especially CA college teams. (only because the CA pro teams suck for the most part... but you can still make dollars on the pros with a close eye....see San Diego and Oakland.) Always take the other side of the CA bet.)