The SEC will be a bloodbath for coaches this year
Napier - gone
Pittman - gone
Beamer - gone
Venables - I got the odds 70/30 that he is gone. I wish I could imagine a world with Kiffin @ Oklahoma but No.
Lea - only survives because Vandy does not give a 17
Freeze - will be on the hot seat in 25 unless he wins 8
I think you're right on Napier and Pittman. I think if Beamer gets them into a bowl, he stays. That being said, they have a tough schedule (LSU, Alabama, Ole Miss, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Missouri, and Clemson), so they would have to beat a couple of teams they're not supposed to.
I would lower the odds on Venables being gone. He's beloved enough that they'll give him a second SEC year unless they just have some well known huge name rock star coach available that they can't pass up. They'll have a decent chance at being 10-2 or 9-3 this season. They'll beat Temple, Houston, Tulane, Auburn, South Carolina, and Maine, then get 3 or 4 of this group: Texas, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Missouri, Alabama, LSU. Now, if they get completely swept by that second set of teams, his seat will be hot. I think he survives, but it will be hot.