Week 6 Bowl Projections

[anon1787432961]

This seems wild to me

 

[Dawgg]

ESPN must be picking the teams.

 

[YesIAmAPirate]

We would be the first 2 win team to ever make a bowl game

 

[Dawgg]

We would be the first 2 win team to ever make a bowl game

Wait. How many wins did we have in 2020?

 

[patdog]

Wait. How many wins did we have in 2020?

3. 4 after the bowl game. Honestly, that was a much better team than this one is. It might have made a bowl game legitimately if not for the Covid.

 

[Dawg1976]

Bowl bound baby! Hail State.

 

[SchrodingersDawg]

Somebody is convinced we are about to go on a tear! HailState, m17ers!

 

[BulldogBlitz]

Bowl bound baby! Hail State.

I just bought tix

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

 

[MoronDawg]

What year is this from?

 

[GloryDawg]

I think they know there will not be enough teams to fill all the bowls. But maybe they mix us up with Ole Miss for a change.

 

[17itdawg]

 

[Called3rdstrikedawg]

Maybe our varsity will be off probation and can start playing the second half of the season.

 

[BreckyBratt]

The multiverse is real.

 

[dickiedawg]

I think they know there will not be enough teams to fill all the bowls. But maybe they mix us up with Ole Miss for a change.

It’s possible the hardworking staff at louisianalouisianasports.net has little enough clue about what’s happening or put little enough effort into this to project state to Tampa.
I think it’s more likely (like a LOT more likely) that they inserted the State logo where Ole Miss should have gone.

 

[OG Goat Holder]

Wait. How many wins did we have in 2020?

Surely you aren't trying to equate 3 wins in the COVID SEC-only 10 game season to a regular season with 12 games and 8 SEC games? I've done this analysis many times, if you look at SEC win percentage, that 3-7 2020 year was more like a 6-6 season in a regular year.

 

[OG Goat Holder]

It’s possible the hardworking staff at louisianalouisianasports.net has little enough clue about what’s happening or put little enough effort into this to project state to Tampa.
I think it’s more likely (like a LOT more likely) that they inserted the State logo where Ole Miss should have gone.

If there's one thing that no longer matters, it's the bowl system.

 

[dickiedawg]

I think they know there will not be enough teams to fill all the bowls. But maybe they mix us up with Ole Miss for a change.

As for the possibility of not enough bowl teams:
Our most recent APR is tied for 24th (and 25-27) nationally, 5th in the conference. That’s better than I expected given the attrition we’ve had in the last few years, although I don’t really know much about how that’s formulated. I seem to remember that transfers out don’t dock you as long as they were on track when they left- but I could be completely making that up. Maybe @615dawg knows more about the process. It has fallen from 19th a year ago.
Regardless, what matters is that we’re 24-27th, and notably behind Auburn and ahead of Florida of teams they didn’t project to a bowl game. So if we were to get to 5 wins we might have a chance.
I’m not sure this needs to be said, but getting to 5 wins feels like a pipe dream at this point. We currently have 4 losses and 5 of our 7 remaining games are against AP ranked teams (and Arkansas is receiving votes- would be 31st).
Now, I’m somewhat of an optimist. I think we can win a game we’re not expected to. Problem is we’d have to win 3 (plus UMass) for the APR to matter at all.
Individually you could talk yourself into Arkansas at home. Missouri could be in a free fall (also at home) and who knows where Ole Miss will be. But all 3 would be a colossal turnaround.

 

[The Peeper]

This reinforces how ridiculous bowl predictions are before mid or even late November, total waste of time when you don't even know until the weekend after Thanksgiving or the following one

 

[columbiadawg2]

 

[Dawgg]

Surely you aren't trying to equate 3 wins in the COVID SEC-only 10 game season to a regular season with 12 games and 8 SEC games? I've done this analysis many times, if you look at SEC win percentage, that 3-7 2020 year was more like a 6-6 season in a regular year.

Yes, Goat, I'm 100% equating this otherwise normal season to the completely different 2020 Covid year where we played a conference only schedule and the NCAA completely disregarded the 6 win postseason minimum and allowed bowls to select pretty much whoever they wanted. Totally the same thing, Goat. You really showed me the false equivalency in my arguments and the errors of my ways.***

I swear sometimes it's like I'm on a message board with my sister's kids.