I think that's true. I enjoy watching State baseball and I'm just wondering why we're not all that good again this year. It's still early but so far I'm not optimistic. I know it's about pitching again but maybe, just maybe, there's some issue with player development overall. Lemonis has a Natty and some CWS appearances. He can coach. So what are the issues? I really don't know. For the record I like Clark. Couldn't he be coached up to hit around 300?
This is what I was getting at in post #4. My theory is that a lot of these year-round travel ball guys have been coached up so much that they are maxed out. Many of them were held back so they are older and more mature. They come in and start as freshmen, but they never really make a big jump. Other examples are Hines, Forty. In the past, you have Kamren James that I would put in this territory. Sometimes they can get around 300, sometimes they can't. And it's not rigid either. Heck even Jake Mangum. He got here and played the same for 4 years, of course, hard to make a jump from his average, but it's not like he added a bunch of power or anything.
On the flip side, you have the raw guys like that do make huge jumps, like Renfroe. That can also go the other way - Logan Tanner. I had that guy pegged as a guy who would hit mid 300s with a ton of bombs as a junior. Didn't happen. Lot of speculation as to why, but athletic ability isn't one of them. Guys like TA and Rowdy were playing football in the fall why these other guys were still playing baseball. They still produced at the same level, and once they get to college and start playing year round and getting reps, they explode and make big jumps.
And other times it's just about overall talent. Adam Frazier was a travel baller, but he was also an MLB talent. He exploded at college and exploded again in the pros.
Nothing wrong with any of those paths, but it's something to keep in mind when talking about players making jumps from year to year, and what to truly expect.