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KenPom predicts the outcome of the next five Duke games

ns_headshot_2024-clearby:Nick Schultz•02/10/22•

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Duke got a big win over North Carolina last week, but the Blue Devils responded with a tough loss against Virginia at Cameron Indoor Stadium on Monday. Despite that, KenPom predicts a strong bounce-back from Mike Krzyzewski’s group.

The Blue Devils are 19-4 overall and 9-3 in ACC action this year. They came in at No. 7 in this week’s AP Top 25 before the loss to Virginia, but could stay in the top 10 if KenPom’s prediction holds true.

Here’s what the KenPom projections say about Duke’s next five games.

KenPom predicts big week for Duke

Feb. 10 at Clemson

Predicted winner: Duke

Predicted final score: Duke 75, Clemson 69

Duke chance of victory: 70%

Feb. 12 at Boston College

Predicted winner: Duke

Predicted final score: Duke 75, Boston College 62

Duke chance of victory: 87%

Feb. 15 vs. Wake Forest

Predicted winner: Duke

Predicted final score: Duke 78, Wake Forest 68

Duke chance of victory: 80%

Feb. 19 vs. Florida State

Predicted winner: Duke

Predicted final score: Duke 76, Florida State 62

Duke chance of victory: 91%

Feb. 23 at Virginia

Predicted winner: Duke

Predicted final score: Duke 67, Virginia 61

Duke chance of victory: 69%

Blue Devils in good position ahead of ACC tournament

Duke is currently second in the ACC behind Notre Dame, trailing the Fighting Irish by half a game. If they win tonight, the Blue Devils would move into a tie for first in the league with seven games to play before the ACC tournament.

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Duke also has a potential No. 1 overall NBA Draft pick in Paolo Banchero, who leads the team with 17.2 points and 8.4 rebounds per game this season. Wendell Moore Jr. is also playing good basketball, coming in right behind Banchero with 14 points per game along with 5.7 boards per contest.

KenPom continues to predict success for the Blue Devils the rest of the way, projecting eight straight victories to close out the regular season. But remember, KenPom also gave Duke an 89% chance of beating Virginia on Monday, which goes to show anything’s possible in college basketball.

Tip-off between Duke and Clemson is coming Thursday night at 8 p.m. ET on the ACC Network.