KenPom predicts outcome of final five regular season Duke games

After suffering an upset loss to Virginia back on Feb. 7, Duke has bounced back with three straight wins and is again playing strong basketball heading down the stretch of the season. The Blue Devils are currently ranked No. 9 in the latest Associated Press Top 25 poll and appear to be a legitimate contender for the ACC championship – and a team that could make a run in the NCAA Tournament to cap off longtime head coach Mike Krzyzewski’s final season at the helm.

Fresh off a 76-74 win over Wake Forest on Tuesday, Duke returns to action Saturday at home against Florida State at Cameron Indoor Stadium (6 p.m. ET on ESPN). According to ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, the Blue Devils have a 93.4% chance to beat the Seminoles, while analytical network KenPom.com predicts Duke to record a victory – giving it a 92% chance to win by a score of 78-63.

In terms of KenPom, Duke’s final five regular season games have been predicted – and the numbers are in favor of the Blue Devils. Here’s a look at how KenPom sees Coach K’s club matching up in their next five outings, beginning Saturday at home against the Florida State Seminoles.

KenPom’s predictions for Duke’s next five games

1.) vs. Florida State, Saturday, Feb. 19: The Blue Devils are predicted to win 78-63, with a 92% chance.

2.) at Virginia, Wednesday, Feb. 23: The Blue Devils are predicted to win 67-61, with a 69% chance.

3.) at Syracuse, Saturday, Feb. 26: The Blue Devils are predicted to win 79-73, with a 72% chance.

4.) at Pitt, Tuesday, March 1: The Blue Devils are predicted to win 73-60, with a 87% chance.

5.) vs. North Carolina, Saturday, March 5: The Blue Devils are predicted to win 82-71, with a 84% chance.

If KenPom’s predictions are correct, the Duke Blue Devils will have an overall record of 27-4 with a 17-3 mark in ACC play heading into the ACC Tournament in mid-March.